Ajai Chowdhry
Atarrified-world is forcing economies to rethink strategies, allies, arsenal, next moves, and new deals. Simultaneously, geopolitical contests and technological disruption are changing the nature of warfare. Are wars limited to boots on the ground or missiles in the air? Far from it. The bigger threat is the grey-zone that typically lies between peace and full-scale war—a murky space where adversaries use coercive actions that are aggressive and destabilising, but fall short of open warfare. Grey-zone operations include cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, economic pressure, political manipulation, and proxy conflicts. These actions are often deniable, non-attributable, and below the threshold that would trigger a traditional military response.
The next wars will be silent—fought through semiconductors, software, and invisible lines of code. Quantum computing and cyber warfare will become central to national security. As American Senator Ben Sasse once remarked, the next wars will be fought with semiconductors. The warning is real. The global battlefield is shifting from terrain to terabytes, and the world must prepare now.
Think tank RAND Corporation’s study, The Future of Warfare 2030, outlines how information warfare, AI, and automation will define conflicts ahead. Grey-zone operations are already intensifying, especially by nations such as China, Russia, and Iran that have mastered subversion without provocation. The report warns that the US must recalibrate its information capabilities. India must do that too.
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