The Geostrata
The withdrawal of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger from the Western African Economic Bloc (ECOWAS) and their refusal to transition back to constitutional rule initiates an informal Alliance of Sahel States. In the Horn of Africa, Proxy confrontations may escalate with a developing Trilateral Alignment between Somalia, Eritrea and Egypt to counter Ethiopia’s increasing influence over the Red Sea.
Security challenges stretch in the Indo-Pacific as India advances its hypersonic defence systems, North Korea strengthens its strategic alliance with Russia and tensions in the Taiwan Strait continue to put global trade in a challenging position.
North America’s geopolitical landscape depends on three critical elections– the 2024 United States Presidential election, the 2025 Canadian Federal election, and the 2024 Mexican General election. The Bi-Oceanic Corridor, set for completion in 2025 along with the EU-MERCOSUR Agreement, will likely transform logistics and boost trade.
Regional foreign policies may reshape Venezuela’s future under Trump’s presidency. The Middle East witnesses increasing tensions between Israel and Lebanon amidst the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, geography and resources may play a strategic role in fostering peace. The climate emergency, the unending war in Ukraine, and Trump’s plan to impose tariffs put the EU in a conundrum.
As these geopolitical developments unfold, the involvement of national and regional governments, multilateral organisations, private entities, humanitarian organisations and research and development institutions becomes fundamental in shaping outcomes and addressing challenges.
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