Fabian Hoffmann
Russia planned its February 2022 invasion of Ukraine as a decisive, three-day campaign that would take its troops into Kyiv and quickly topple the Ukrainian government. More than three years later, that scenario remains a Russian pipedream. Suffering horrific casualties and losses of equipment, Russian forces are bogged down along a static front line hundreds of miles from Kyiv. While Russia has made incremental tactical gains over the past year, there is absolutely no sign of a military breakthrough anytime soon.
Farther west, European NATO states are scrambling to rearm. Several NATO defense chiefs warn that the alliance must be ready to confront a Russian attack on one or more of the bloc’s members within three to seven years. More starkly, Danish officials have warned that Russia could launch some sort of attack within six months of the war in Ukraine slowing or ending.
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