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23 September 2025

Trump’s Path to the Nobel Peace Prize: An Israel–Palestine Deal

Abdullah Hayek

If Trump can succeed in finally bringing the Israel-Palestine conflict to an end, it will cement his legacy as one of the world’s greatest peacemakers.

In his second inauguration speech, President Donald Trump cast himself as a global peacemaker. Since January 2025, he has boasted of stopping or cooling six wars, remarking, “I’ve stopped six wars—I’m averaging about a war a month.” The president’s allies, both at home and abroad, now argue that such efforts alone warrant Nobel recognition. Yet while these ceasefires and accords are impressive, one conflict towers above them all: the century-old Israeli–Palestinian conflict.

If Trump can deliver a credible peace between Israelis and Palestinians, he will not only join the ranks of Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton as architects of Middle East peace, but may eclipse them altogether, securing the Nobel Peace Prize and reshaping the regional order.
Trump’s Mediation Has Ended Many Global Conflicts

Trump’s claim of mediating six conflicts reflects both ambition and uneven achievement. In June 2025, after Israel’s airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear sites triggered a massive Iranian retaliation, Trump escalated with US bunker-buster strikes, pushing both sides under US and Qatari mediation to accept the first direct truce in their 46-year enmity.

Later that month, Trump presided over a Washington agreement between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda, a war that has killed six million since the 1990s, hailing it as “a glorious triumph,” though experts warn the ceasefire remains fragile.

In July, as Cambodia and Thailand’s border dispute erupted into clashes that killed dozens and displaced 300,000, Trump threatened to suspend trade talks unless fighting stopped; within days, both governments agreed to a U.S.-brokered ceasefire over disputed temple lands.

In South Asia, when Kashmir flared in May, Pakistan publicly thanked Trump for mediating a ceasefire with India—though New Delhi dismissed his role, insisting the truce came from direct military channels. Whatever the case, the violence subsided.

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