Dr Maria Shagina
Supply-chain resilience has moved from being a technical concern to the backbone of economic security. As pandemics, wars and export controls expose dangerous dependencies, Western governments are racing to map supply-chain vulnerabilities, rebuild economic resilience and rethink cooperation in an era of weaponised interdependence.
The principle that economic security is national security is now widely accepted among Western policymakers. What is only just beginning to sink in, however, is that supply chain resilience is the foundation of economic security. The COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine and China’s weaponisation of export controls have collectively exposed the fragility of global supply chains. In just five years, the concept of supply-chain resilience has shifted from being a niche, technocratic notion to a central pillar of modern geo-economics.
What once seemed efficient, just-in-time systems optimised for cost and speed are now recognised as potential vectors of coercion and disruption. Without mapping where vulnerabilities lie, governments remain ill-equipped not only to manage disruptions but to anticipate them.
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