Erol Yayboke
As the Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group (CSG) arrived in the Caribbean on November 11, much of the coverage—including here at CSIS—is deservedly on whether the redeployment signals a change in strategy, global posture, or even an impending military intervention. These are all excellent questions, especially given recent attacks on boats off Venezuela’s coast. Regardless of strategic intent, Venezuela clearly matters more to the U.S. government than it has at any point in recent memory. The feeling might be mutual among at least some Venezuelans, with recent Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado even publicly supporting the deadly strikes.
U.S. actions should be defined by its strategic goals for engagement with Venezuela and in the context of broader regional objectives. But kinetic action is not the only tool in the United States’ national security toolkit, nor should its deployment be seen as an inevitability. Short of war, there is covert action (already authorized) and plenty of games to play—and win—in the information space, particularly with the assistance of agentic AI, effectively leveraging organic discontent while limiting risk to innocent Venezuelans.
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