James F. Jeffrey and Elizabeth Dent
On September 9, Israel shocked the world by bombing a villa in a residential neighborhood of Doha in an attempt to kill senior Hamas officials. It was the second time Qatar was struck this year. (In June, Iran launched missiles at a U.S. air base in the emirate in retaliation for U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran). As an important U.S. ally and a key conflict mediator, Qatar has generally been considered off-limits to the region’s belligerents. Moreover, Qatar has hosted Hamas leaders for years, with tacit American and Israeli approval, as part of its mediating role; the targeted officials were, in fact, negotiating, through Qatari channels, a potential hostage and cease-fire agreement for Gaza. If the strikes had resulted in more casualties or damage to Qatar, it might have destabilized the whole region, expanding the war to the Gulf and likely destroying any near-term prospects for a cease-fire.
Israel’s strike on Qatar was not successful, and this didn’t happen. But the attack did inadvertently achieve something equally consequential: it opened the door to what could be one of the most important shifts in U.S. Middle East policy in decades. Not only was U.S. President Donald Trump sufficiently angered that he pressured Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu into agreeing to a cease-fire in Gaza. He also took the unprecedented step of issuing an executive order to reaffirm Washington’s commitment to its Gulf ally, asserting that an armed attack against Qatar will be considered “a threat to the peace and security of the United States.” This full-throated assurance of U.S. support is likely to set a new benchmark for security relationships between the Gulf countries and the United States.
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