5 February 2026

AI Command and Staff—Operational Evidence and Insights from Wargaming

Aaron Blair Wilcox,  Chase Metcalf 

The following vignette, although fictional, does present a likely and not distant future. For the past several years, the U.S. Army, in partnership with the private sector, has experimented with Generative AI (GenAI) solutions within planning events and command and control exercises. These largely language-based, probabilistic, pattern-matching algorithms present the appearance of intelligence, but their true impact on human cognition and decision making is unexplored. The narrative that follows frames a future many in the military are pursuing, potentially without recognizing the impacts on military strategy and the utility of force.

The air in the V Corps (Victory) Forward Command Post was a toxic cocktail of stale coffee, ozone from the servers, and week-old tension. For Lieutenant Colonel Rostova, it was the sound that wore her down the most—the incessant, low hum of the AI, a constant reminder of the machine mind that now co-piloted this potential war. It had been two weeks since tensions flared in the NORTHCOM area of operations (AO). For seven days, the AI-mind, codenamed ARGUS, had been their savior. It had predicted cyber-attacks on the U.S. power grid with milliseconds to spare and guided Navy destroyers to intercept submarine-launched drone swarms before they breached the horizon. ARGUS was fast, exquisite, and so far, seemingly flawless. It had earned their trust. Now, it was demanding it.

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