3 February 2026

New National Defense Strategy could leave adversaries, and allies, guessing: Analysts

Ashley Roque

WASHINGTON — As analysts digest the Pentagon’s National Defense Strategy, one theme seems to be coming up again and again: “ambiguity.” The NDS is traditionally viewed as a guiding light for how the Pentagon will execute the geopolitical goals set out in the White House’s National Security Strategy. The public discussion around the NDS, therefore, tends to look for indications as to policy and investments that are to come.

But according to four analysts who talked with Breaking Defense, the 2026 version of the NDS obscures more than it clarifies — leaving a lot of space for allies, enemies and national security watchers to try and fill in the blanks. “It’s very ambiguous, and I don’t know if they even recognize the contradictions that they’re creating,” Kelly Grieco, a senior fellow with the Reimagining US Grand Strategy Program at the Stimson Center, told Breaking Defense on Monday.

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