27 April 2026

The Ghost of Saigon in Tehran: Why Ships and Planes Won’t Break a Holy War

Stephen D. Cook

As a retired Green Beret with 25 years in the U.S. Army, I have spent much of my life in the dust of Iraq and Afghanistan. I have seen, firsthand, what happens when a superpower tries to trade blood for progress. Today, as I watch the escalating tension with Iran and the new U.S. naval blockade now choking the Strait of Hormuz, I don’t see a “surgical” strategic solution. I see a hauntingly familiar pattern of over-reliance on technical superiority to solve a human problem.

We are making the Vietnam mistake all over again. Just as Washington once believed that a massive aerial bombing campaign—Operation Rolling Thunder—would break Hanoi’s will and end the war from the air without a messy ground commitment, we are again betting that ships, precision strikes, and economic pressure alone will force the regime to fold.

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