Irina Tsukerman
Andrew Fox recently described a strategic nightmare now unfolding in Iran. Military power has damaged the Islamic Republic’s military infrastructure and weakened parts of its security architecture. Air superiority has allowed American and Israeli forces to dismantle missile production, strike naval assets, and degrade facilities tied to Iran’s military posture. None of these accomplishments resolve the central question that determines the outcome of wars. Military destruction alone does not impose political order.
Iran remains a large, complex society governed by a system that has survived decades of sanctions, covert attacks, and internal unrest. The regime has never relied solely on military strength for survival. Its endurance rests on coercive institutions, ideological networks, and the ability to control the narrative of resistance. When those pillars remain intact, even a heavily damaged state continues to function. The danger Fox describes lies here. A wounded regime that survives retains the power to repress its population while lacking the capacity to stabilize the country.
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