13 January 2024

China’s space warfare plan advances killer missiles capable of disabling U.S. satellite

Bill Gertz

China’s plans for space warfare include cyberattacks and electronic jamming to disrupt and disable U.S. satellite systems and, in the future, small robot satellites to grab or crush U.S. military space sensors, according to a senior U.S. intelligence official report.

China’s three types of anti-satellite missiles capable of blasting satellites at all orbits are under the control of the Chinese Communist Party Central Military Commission, headed by President Xi Jinping, and represent a deterrent force, said Kristin Burke, deputy national intelligence officer for space at the National Intelligence Council, a senior analysis unit.

Ms. Burke disclosed new details of Chinese space warfare capabilities in a Dec. 11 report, which identified the People’s Liberation Army units in charge of space cyberwarfare, electronic jamming and directed energy attacks on satellites. The report also revealed the locations of PLA bases and units armed with road-mobile anti-satellite missiles.

The unclassified report is based on PLA military and technical writings. It was written to help U.S. military planners target Chinese space warfare assets and better prepare in war games for a possible conflict with Beijing. The 79-page report, “PLA Counterspace Command and Control,” was published by the Air Force China Aerospace Studies Institute.

Mr. Xi declared in a 2012 speech to PLA missile forces that the military must “step up the construction of ground-based anti-satellite operational forces and ensure the on-schedule formation of combat capability.”

China’s most lethal strategic space weapons are three types of satellite-killing missiles identified in the report as the DN-1, DN-2 and DN-3, one of which is deployed on a road-mobile launcher. The missiles can reach all three orbit levels: low, medium, and geosynchronous.

Geosynchronous orbit is about 22,300 miles above Earth, where many intelligence and global navigation satellites are located. An attack on a satellite in that orbit could create a damaging debris field for more than 6,000 military and civilian satellites.

Preparing for years

The PLA has been training for anti-satellite missile attacks since 2018. The report included a photograph of an anti-satellite missile training exercise in western China. The Central Military Commission’s new joint operations command center would decide whether to launch a space attack against satellites during conflict, the report said.

The PLA appears to have shifted its plans for anti-satellite attacks after the 2007 test of a missile that destroyed a weather satellite and created tens of thousands of pieces of space debris in the process. The PLA conducted a second ASAT test in July 2014 that did not produce debris.

China plans to use its ASAT missiles to deter attacks on its own satellites, the report said. PLA air force or rocket force units, with help from the Strategic Support Force space systems department, would likely carry out such deterrent exercises.

“While [direct ascent] ASAT missiles potentially could be deployed from many more places than expected, the PLA’s primary intention for the missiles is to be a credible deterrent, and only the CMC would cautiously approve their use,” the report said.

The report said, “In order for an adversary to view the weapon as a real threat, the mobile ASAT missiles and their support equipment need to be dispersed across China in secret locations, available for PLA targeting of adversary military satellites.”

China may be using its ASAT missiles disguised as anti-ballistic missile interceptors to confuse adversaries, the report said.

The PLA’s use of jamming gear to disrupt satellite communications from space to the ground is relatively advanced and can be carried out by theater commands during wartime. PLA forces also have low-powered, directed energy weapons to disrupt satellites and offensive cyberattacks, as well as malware weapons for use locally, the report said.

PLA military writings reveal plans to jam foreign military GPS signals and to confuse, or “spoof,” satellites with false location data. Ground signals sent to satellites can also be jammed. A 2022 PLA document revealed the capability to jam satellite navigation signals sent to guided missiles.

“In a PRC regional battle, satellite uplink and downlink jamming are both expected,” the report said.

Offensive operations

The report identifies more than five PLA units involved in cyberwarfare against satellites.

Plans call for covertly planting computer malware in enemy space information systems through remote entry. The weapons include “computer viruses, logic bombs, and chip weapons to implement network attacks,” the report said.

China showed its ability to penetrate adversary systems in the early 2000s when hackers infiltrated systems of NASA’s Kennedy Space Center space shuttle vehicle assembly building. The penetration gave the PLA insights into complex launch preparations.

In May 2022, the PLA moved a car-based, commercially available navigation signal jammer within 32 feet of a launchpad at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center. The jammer “could have disrupted navigation systems and caused a rocket to deviate from its trajectory,” the report said.

Directed energy systems that can interfere with satellites are deployed at several locations in China. The weapons can be used for “reversible satellite dazzling and space services jamming,” the report said.

The PLA also has high-powered microwave and electromagnetic pulse weapons, but it is unclear whether the arms can be used against satellites, the report said.

One PLA study said Chinese military units are working on using directed energy space weapons. The PLA central command practiced “interfering with early warning satellites like the U.S. [Space-Based Infrared System] in geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO) to slow the satellite’s information acquisition time,” the report said.

The report said China’s systems for maneuvering satellites with grappling arms are large and thus would be difficult to deploy in a time of conflict.

“The miniaturization of such systems … is the likely technology path which would be a hard-to-track co-orbital counterspace threat,” the report said.

Chinese state media have noted that the world’s military powers, including China, are building “several space-based combat platforms which can capture and dismantle spacecraft with … robotic arms.” In June 2021, a PLA engineer disclosed that the Chinese military had “developed an experimental counterspace satellite with a robotic arm” to alter orbit and detect satellites.

The report said PLA maneuvering satellites have conducted “uncoordinated engagements with U.S. satellites” orbiting in space, indicating increasing capabilities for grappling operations in wartime.

China’s space warfare capabilities also include plans for space-based electronic jamming satellites, the report said.

“Within the last ten years, the PLA has probably launched an experimental communications jamming satellite in geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO) to practice space-based reversible satellite communications jamming,” the report said.

Dispersed control

The report concludes that command and control of space warfare forces will be spread among several PLA components, including the Strategic Support Force, rocket force and air force, and that the ruling party’s Central Military Commission would control any action involving strategic impacts.

Ms. Burke did not respond to an email request for comment on the report.

Retired Navy Vice Adm. Brian Brown stated in a report in the Naval Institute journal Proceedings that using space to obtain an information advantage in conflict is a crucial aspect of joint military operations.

Adm. Brown, a former deputy commander of the Strategic Command’s Joint Functional Component Command for Space, said China is organized to counter U.S. space-based technology through a set of distributed capabilities.

China’s use of space at a regional level to gain battlespace awareness, disrupt U.S. [command and control], and target U.S. forces is rapidly improving — as is its ability to disrupt and degrade space operations through terrestrial and space-based means,” he stated.

“The United States possesses some ability to counter China’s capabilities in space, but it will be a tough fight.”

No comments: