Sunny Cheung
This week, Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine enters its fourth year. What began as a European war has transformed into a live-fire laboratory for how major-power conflict unfolds across domains. The war’s protraction is instructive. The persistence of kinetic operations and operational pressures are demonstrating that contemporary interstate conflict can endure alongside tactical and institutional adaptation—and that such adaptation can enable its endurance.
Beijing has been closely studying Russia’s evolving approach to the conflict, conducted under sanction, surveillance, and constant drone threat. Across the People’s Republic of China (PRC), researchers and analysts are extracting lessons on how to fight, endure, and prevail in a conflict against a U.S.-led coalition characterized by deep intelligence, technological, and financial leverage.
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