18 May 2026

Trump and Xi’s spheres of ignorance

Newsweek  |  Newsweek Editors
The relationship between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping is characterized by significant "spheres of ignorance" on both sides, hindering effective strategic engagement. Trump's transactional approach often misinterprets China's civilizational priorities, particularly regarding Taiwan, and underestimates American voters' preference for lower prices over confrontational trade policies. Similarly, Xi's understanding of the U.S. is potentially flawed by treating Trump as the sole representation of America and by an authoritarian information system that filters genuine Chinese public sentiment, which can be both nationalistic and pragmatic. This mutual lack of deep understanding is exacerbated by a thinning of "middle layers" of communication, evidenced by declining numbers of American students in China, reduced flights, and restricted foreign journalism. The article highlights that while a summit might yield superficial agreements, it cannot bridge these fundamental gaps in perception, making the risk of conflict a "known known" if diplomacy fails to acknowledge these constraints.

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