13 July 2026

The Great Nicobar Project: India’s Indian Ocean Power Play

Geopolitical Monitor  |  Sankalp Gurjar

India’s Great Nicobar project aims to establish a multi-purpose trans-shipment hub, civil-military airport, and energy infrastructure on the southernmost island of the Andaman and Nicobar chain by 2047. This $9-11 billion initiative positions New Delhi to command the entrance to the Strait of Malacca, a critical global energy chokepoint.

Ukraine’s Lima and the Convergence of Electronic and Cyber Warfare: What It Signals for Pakistan

Quwa | Bilal Khan

Ukraine's Cascade Systems' Lima electronic warfare (EW) system has reportedly diverted 58 of 59 Russian Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles by early July 2026, achieving a near-perfect success rate against one of Russia's most advanced weapons. This low-cost, non-kinetic solution targets satellite navigation of precision-guided munitions through a unique combination of jamming, spoofing, and a novel data-corruption technique that extends into cyber warfare.

China Is Already Trying to Control Who the Next Dalai Lama Will Be

Time | Charlie Campbell

China is actively preparing to control the succession of the next Dalai Lama, leveraging the 14th Dalai Lama Tenzin Gyatso's recent knee replacement surgery at 91 as an alarm bell for the Tibetan diaspora. The officially atheist Chinese Communist Party (CCP) insists his reincarnation must be "approved by the central government," a policy reiterated by Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning.

What drives Trump 2.0?

Engelsberg Ideas | Brendan Simms

President Trump's second administration, commencing in 2025, significantly intensified efforts to reshape the global system, imposing tariffs on the EU, UK, Japan, Australia, and China. This period also saw a new emphasis on the Western Hemisphere, with the administration restating the Monroe Doctrine as the "Donroe Doctrine," escalating pressure on Cuba, Venezuela, and Colombia.

Why Americans Are Wary of AI

Project Syndicate  |  Ngaire Woods

Most Americans are skeptical and fearful of AI, with public concern rising faster than chatbot adoption. According to the Pew Research Center, 37% of Americans were more concerned than excited about AI in 2021; by 2023, that figure had risen to 52%. This increasing apprehension is significantly linked to declining trust in government institutions responsible for regulating AI, making it harder for the tech industry to persuade people to embrace the technology.

The U.S. Army And The Golden Dome Program

Eurasia Review  |  Hannah D. Dennis, Andrew Feickert

The Department of Defense is developing the Golden Dome for America, an integrated homeland air and missile defense system, initially known as Iron Dome for America, under Executive Order 14347. This "system of systems" aims to protect the United States from aerial and missile threats, with the Army Space and Missile Defense Command (ASMDC) leading operational development in support of NORTHCOM.

Washington’s quantum mobilisation: from discovery to deployment

IISS  |  Dongyoun Cho

The United States recently enacted a concentrated burst of quantum policymaking in June 2026, marking a deliberate shift from scientific discovery to deployment infrastructure. Key decisions by Congress, the White House, Pentagon, and Department of Commerce initiated a whole-of-government push on quantum technology, accelerating the federal transition to post-quantum cryptography (PQC) and fostering domestic supply chains.

AI, Data Centers, And European Strategic Autonomy In A U.S.-China Tech Rivalry

Eurasia Review  |  Atuf Guliyev

Artificial intelligence infrastructure, including data centers, energy, chips, and networks, has emerged as a critical geopolitical asset, central to great-power competition in 2026. Control over these resources directly impacts economic competitiveness, military strength, and global influence, with Europe significantly lagging behind the United States and China in developing sovereign capabilities.

How Europe Can Get Putin’s Attention

Foreign Affairs  |  Alexander Gabuev

Finnish President Alexander Stubb recently articulated a significant shift in European sentiment, stating in an early June interview, "I believe we should talk to Putin." This admission is particularly revealing given Stubb's established history as one of Europe’s most pro-Ukraine and hawkish politicians concerning the Kremlin. He underscored the enduring reality of Finland's 833-mile border with Russia, emphasizing that ignoring Russian President Vladimir Putin is becoming untenable and that political relations must eventually be maintained.

Army Cyber Institute (ACI)

Cyber Defense Review,  2026, v. 11, no.2
  • A Decade of Cyber Defense Scholarship: The Cyber Defense Review, 2016–2026
  • The Missing Grammar of Cyber Operations: Toward a Theory of Cyber Operational Art
  • Seven Insights from a Cyber Operations Maneuverist
  • Initiative, Not Attrition: Reconceiving Cyber Operations as Maneuver
  • Exhaust, Don’t Deter: Ukraine’s Lessons for Allied Strategy Against Russia in Cyberspace
  • Playing the Future: Insights from Wargaming Cyber Conflict
  • Is Cyberwar War – and Why Might it Matter?
  • Cyber Persistence Theory Is Cyber Praxis
  • Cyber Defense in an Interdependent World: A Critique of Digital Decoupling
  • Seven Cyber Trends Shaping Modern Conflict: Twenty Years and Counting
  • Winning the War, Not Just the Cyber Fight
  • Cyber War Did Not Take Place
  • Accelerating with AI: Cyber Defense at Speed, Scope, Scale
  • Commanding Agentic Forces in Multi-Domain Operations: Mastering Cognitive Convergence and Decision Hand-Off
  • The Agentic Cyber Protection Team: Trading Mass for Mastery in the Algorithmic Battlespace
  • Defense in a Denser Fog of War
  • Forging the Digital Ecosystem for the Arsenal of Freedom
  • A New Era of Army Cyber Transformation
  • Forging Multi-Domain Advantage to Match the Speed of Conflict
  • Leadership Beyond the Easy No: Mastering the Basics and Breaking Constraints in Cyber Defense
  • Protect What Cannot Fail: Operational Resilience for America’s Most Consequential Critical Infrastructure
  • The Invisible Battlefield: Defending Key Terrain in Operational Technology by Leveraging National Laboratories
  • China’s Cyber Explosives are in Place. Where’s our Response?
  • Building Mission Assurance into the Space Defense Industrial Base
  • We Are the Attack Surface: Conway’s Law, the Sociotechnical Layer, and the Resilience the Next Decade Demands
  • Embracing a Whole-of-Nation Approach to the 2026 National Cybersecurity Strategy Inspired by the Manhattan Project
  • Wrong Players, Wrong Game: Rethinking Who Belongs in Cyber
  • A Blueprint for Military-Industrial Partnership: Shared Risk and Unified Cybersecurity as Instruments of National Power
  • Responsible Disclosure in the Age of AI: A Call for Urgent Action
  • 2036 Starts Today: A Call to Action for NATO’s Cyber Future
  • From Zero Trust to Full Trust: Toward the Cyber Defense Innovation Hub Initiative
  • A Decade of Insight, Driven by Necessity: From the Shoddy Cyber Substrate to Great Systems Conflict, and the Alliance That Must Defend What Remains
  • The Futures They See: Cyber Leaders’ Visions of the Next Decade

A Thousand Days After October 7, Washington Still Has No Strategic Plan

Carnegie Endowment | Daniel C. Kurtzer and Aaron David Miller

A thousand days after October 7, 2023, the Middle East remains volatile, with Gaza in ruins and Israel occupying nearly 70 percent of the territory while Hamas governs the remainder. A ferocious U.S. and Israeli military campaign against Iran has paradoxically emboldened the Islamic Republic, granting it newfound leverage and effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, including the near-certainty of imposed transit fees.

Ukraine Finally Has a Theory of Victory. Will It Work?

Foreign Policy | Christian Caryl

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Ukraine strikes Russian ships near Crimea, escalating attacks on fuel supplies

BBC News  |  Ilya Abishev, Paul Brown, Paul Kirby, Alex Murray, Adam Durbin, Kevin Nguyen, Tom Shiel

Ukraine's military has intensified attacks near Russian-annexed Crimea, targeting maritime supply routes after striking land corridors. Ukraine's drone force commander, Robert Brovdi (Magyar), claims at least 25 ships were hit and set ablaze in the Sea of Azov between July 6 and 9, significantly impacting Russia's naval capability and fuel supply guarantees.

The War in Ukraine Is Already Over — and Putin Lost

19FortyFive  |  James Jay Carafano

Russia has passed its military culminating point in Ukraine, rendering a strategic victory for President Vladimir Putin impossible despite ongoing battlefield hostilities. This irreversible operational shift permanently leaves Moscow vulnerable to deep strikes while facing an intact NATO alliance and a highly armed, independent Ukrainian state that cannot be subjugated.

Moving Past ‘Spirit of Anchorage’ Could Spur More Realistic Negotiations

The Jamestown Foundation  |  Tatiana Vorozhko

Russia continues to demand Kyiv cede Ukrainian-controlled parts of Donetsk oblast, promoting the “spirit of Anchorage” to allege U.S. acceptance of Russian control over the entire Donbas region as a peace talk starting point. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio recently disputed any agreement during the August 2025 talks in Alaska, resetting the stage for more realistic negotiations.

The Ceasefire That Never Was: Washington and Tehran Return to the Brink in the Strait of Hormuz

Velina Tchakarova  |  Velina Tchakarova

The fragile memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, signed last month, collapsed following renewed kinetic exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting President Donald Trump to declare the ceasefire "over" after drone strikes hit three commercial vessels, including a Qatari LNG tanker and a Saudi crude carrier, off Oman.

Global Economy, Hit by Iran War and Inflation, Faces Sharp Slowdown

The New York Times  |  Alan Rappeport

The International Monetary Fund warned on Wednesday that global output growth is poised to fall to 3 percent in 2026, down from 3.5 percent last year, after joint military strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran triggered retaliatory attacks on regional energy infrastructure and disrupted global supply chains.

The Global Energy Map Is Being Redrawn in Real Time

Foreign Policy | Fatih Birol

The Strait of Hormuz is experiencing a profound crisis of confidence as geopolitical tensions shatter long-standing maritime security assumptions and force a real-time redrawing of the global energy map. This disruption has elevated trust into one of the most critical commodities in international energy markets, directly threatening the stability of global fossil fuel transit.

OPEC Isn’t Dead. It Just Lost Its Superpower

National Interest  |  Tatiana Mitrova

The Strait of Hormuz crisis in 2026 and the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) exit from OPEC have fundamentally eroded the cartel's collective market authority. While Saudi Arabia successfully bypassed the Iranian blockade using its 7 million barrel-per-day East-West pipeline, other regional producers suffered severe export disruptions.

The future of world order

Engelsberg Ideas | Francis J. Gavin

The contemporary world order is poorly suited to the dynamic international system, generating a sense of crisis. This order, a complex political, institutional, cultural, and normative response, comprises numerous interwoven regional and partial arrangements beyond just global security and macroeconomic structures, encompassing areas like banking, travel safety, and climate.

Will We Know If AI Takes Over? Q&A with Benjamin Boudreaux

RAND Corporation

RAND Corporation policy researcher Benjamin Boudreaux and mathematician Alvin Moon modeled how artificial intelligence could systematically erode human collective agency over time. This mathematical framework warns that incremental delegation of decisions to automated systems risks reaching an irreversible tipping point where humans lose control without a clear, dramatic warning.

Iran Didn’t Need to Win The War. It Needed to Outlast It

Small Wars Journal | Ghufrane Daymi

Iran successfully neutralized devastating conventional strikes by the United States and Israel during the 2026 war by employing an asymmetric strategy of protracted attrition and geo-economic disruption. This defensive approach allowed Tehran to withstand the loss of its conventional military infrastructure while forcing its adversaries into an unsustainable, high-cost conflict.

The Drone Revolution That Isn’t

Modern War Institute | Sandor Fabian

Unmanned aerial systems deployed in modern conflicts are transforming tactical reconnaissance and precision strikes but fail to deliver a decisive strategic revolution on the battlefield. While cheap quadcopters and loitering munitions routinely destroy costly armored vehicles, these highly visible successes do not substitute for comprehensive military strategy or secure long-term political objectives.

Trump Calls Iran "Scum." Another Reversal is Coming

Fridainsight | Frida Ghitis

U.S. launched strikes in Bandar Abbas, Iran, following Iranian attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, marking a resumption of hostilities after President Trump publicly denounced Iran as "scum" at a NATO summit. This reversal signals the collapse of the Islamabad Memorandum (MOU), a peace deal negotiated by Vice President JD Vance.

Ukraine Is Already Changing the Future of War

LinkedIn | Ken Robinson

LinkedIn's digital platform redirected users to an alternative professional development portal after failing to locate a specific article regarding Ukraine and the future of war. This system error prompts visitors to explore curated expert insights on leadership, stress management, and emerging artificial intelligence capabilities instead of the requested geopolitical analysis.