4 March 2026

Russia Is Catching Up to Ukraine in the Drone War

Stavros Atlamazoglou

In January, the Russian forces launched approximately 4,400 kamikaze drones against Ukraine. This was a slight decrease from December, when the Russian forces launched approximately 5,100 loitering munitions—but that was largely due to the poor weather conditions of last month, which make it difficult for propeller-powered drones to fly. Judging from the daily launches in the first half of February (approximately 190 kamikaze drones per day), there will likely be an increase from last month.

The Russian forces utilize four main types of kamikaze drones: the Shahed 136, Shahed 131, Geran-2, and Geran-3. The drones are all based on the same fundamental design, a warhead with two wings on either side and a rear propeller. The Shahed drones are designed by Iran, while the Gerans are the Russian version of the Iranian drones. Drones are the “hottest” weapon in the war in Ukraine. Both the Ukrainians and Russians use unmanned aerial systems profusely for a wide range of mission sets, including kinetic strikes, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), artillery spotting, and even resupply of troops on the frontline.

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