Center for Strategic and International Studies | Seth G. Jones
The United States military faces significant challenges in sustaining a protracted conflict with China, primarily due to critical shortages in long-range munitions, advanced air defense systems, interceptors, and unmanned air, undersea, and surface platforms. Deterring or engaging in a two-front war across the Indo-Pacific and Europe would exacerbate these deficiencies, highlighting a strategic vulnerability. Production timelines for essential munitions like SM-6, SM-3 IB, JASSM, and Tomahawk extend to three to four years, meaning recent Pentagon efforts to increase production, while helpful, cannot provide immediate solutions. This situation necessitates a rapid and sustained investment in the defense industrial base and strategic stockpiling to enhance U.S. warfighting capacity and deterrence posture against a peer competitor like China.
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