18 January 2026

Will the U.S. Strike Iran? The Factors Shaping Trump’s Decision

Nik Popli

As nationwide protests shake Iran and security forces respond with lethal force, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised the prospect of American intervention, reviving a familiar question in Washington: what, exactly, would U.S. action in Iran look like—and to what end?

Publicly, the Administration has kept its options deliberately broad. The White House says that Trump has been briefed on military and nonmilitary alternatives, from cyber operations to targeted strikes, but has not yet reached a decision.

Yet on Tuesday, Trump signaled that he may soon authorize U.S. military strikes against the country’s leadership, calling on Iranians to keep protesting and promising that “help is on its way.”

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