Björn Stritzel
After five weeks of bombardment, a ceasefire is now supposed to take hold. Yet the central elements of this truce remain entirely unclear: when or whether the Strait of Hormuz will reopen to shipping; whether Iran will relinquish its highly enriched uranium or continue enrichment; whether its ballistic missile program will be dismantled and whether Tehran will persist in pursuing its imperial ambitions through proxies.
The Israeli and American air campaign was at first conspicuously successful, with much of Iran’s navy destroyed and dozens of the most senior political and military leaders eliminated.
Yet, the Iranian regime proved more resilient than many anticipated. Its command structures remained intact despite decapitation strikes, and the hunt by Israeli and American air forces for Iranian missile launchers failed to prevent continued ballistic missile launches, even if they succeeded in curtailing them.
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