19 May 2026

Will Trump Betray Taiwan?

Project Syndicate  |  Eyck Freymann
US President Donald Trump's upcoming summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping presents a critical juncture for Taiwan's autonomy, as Xi is characterized as a patient, perceptive, and ambitious leader. While the meeting's agenda includes diverse topics such as the Iran war, nuclear weapons, tariffs, and AI, Taiwan will undoubtedly be a central point of discussion, with Xi expected to demonstrate inflexibility. Safeguarding Taiwan's self-governance hinges on preventing Xi from perceiving any signal that his long-term strategy, which includes a psychological component for takeover, no longer requires patience. The article suggests that Trump's potential carelessness or transactional approach could inadvertently provide such a signal, thereby undermining efforts to maintain the status quo and increasing the risk to Taiwan's future. The strategic implications underscore the delicate balance of power and the critical importance of US diplomatic resolve in deterring Chinese aggression towards Taiwan. The full agenda for the summit can be found here.

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