Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky faces a critical juncture, potentially mirroring the strategic missteps of Czechoslovakia's Eduard Benes in 1938 and Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu in a recent US-Iran negotiation. Czechoslovakia, despite a formidable military, capitulated to Hitler after being excluded from British and French negotiations that codified German demands, leading to its full seizure within a year.
Similarly, Israel was excluded from a US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) that imposed a ceasefire in Lebanon, restrained Israeli retaliation against Hezbollah, and allowed Iran access to frozen assets and oil sales. Netanyahu must abide by the MOU without US support. Zelensky, despite Ukraine's current successes against Russia, including missile attacks on St. Petersburg and Moscow, licensed Patriot missile production, and Crimea's isolation, must actively influence any future negotiations to avoid losing the peace, as small powers require great power support.
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