27 June 2026

The Strange Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence

Foreign Affairs  |  Rose Gottemoeller

In June 2025, Ukraine’s security services executed an audacious strike within Russia, infiltrating the country to hide short-range attack drones near Russian air bases, including those in the Amur region near China. Utilizing Russia’s mobile phone network, Ukrainian operatives remotely launched these drones, successfully destroying at least ten Russian strategic heavy bombers and damaging a total of 41 aircraft, including some vital for nuclear command and control, according to Ukrainian assessments.

This incident, which targeted aircraft capable of carrying nuclear weapons, represents a significant challenge to conventional understandings of nuclear deterrence. The event highlights a potential coming crisis in strategic stability, demonstrating how non-nuclear, asymmetric attacks can undermine the perceived invulnerability of strategic assets and complicate the calculus of nuclear-armed states, particularly in the context of ongoing conflict.

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