President Donald Trump announced a US deal with Iran on Sunday, declaring the "opening" of the Strait of Hormuz and urging ships to resume oil flow. However, BBC Verify analysis of MarineTraffic data shows only seven vessels have passed through the waterway since the announcement, with approximately 580 ships waiting in the Gulf.
Tehran effectively closed the Strait, a critical route for about a fifth of global oil and gas, after US and Israeli strikes on February 28. Experts identify three major obstacles preventing normal traffic: security concerns, the threat of sea mines, and potential new tolls or fees. Iran previously fired on ships, and the US naval blockade, though announced for removal, remains until the deal is signed. Mine clearance could take 30 days to six months, with the UK and France deploying vessels. Iran's proposed "Persian Gulf Strait Authority" and "service fees" also complicate free passage, suggesting a gradual normalization rather than an immediate return to pre-conflict levels.
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