Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces an upcoming October 27 election with current polls leaving his governing bloc short of a parliamentary majority. For four decades, Netanyahu has built his political career around claims of indispensability, portraying himself as uniquely qualified to manage external threats like Iran while suppressing internal party rivals.
The October 7 massacre shattered his core security promise, yet successive security emergencies and ongoing regional conflict have been repurposed to postpone accountability and sustain his grip on power. While his campaigns continue to weaponize foreign hostility as a qualification for office, his international standing has narrowed amid an ICC arrest warrant and diplomatic walkouts at the United Nations. The central illusion of his tenure remains the unproven premise that Israel's national survival depends exclusively on his continued political leadership.
Political longevity in Likud has systematically subordinated institutional depth to personal survival, leaving a parliamentary vacuum where succession mechanisms were deliberately dismantled. This structural fragility mirrors the policy of quiet maintained toward Hamas through Qatari funding channels, which ultimately degraded the operational responsiveness of the Shin Bet prior to October 7.
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