19 June 2026

The Impact of the Iran War on the Gulf’s Grand AI Plans

Middle East Institute |  Mohammed Soliman

Iranian drone strikes on Amazon data centers in the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain in early March, amid the US-Israeli war with Iran, were intended to disrupt the Gulf's artificial intelligence (AI) ambitions but ultimately failed. Tehran targeted these data centers, recognizing their centrality to the Gulf's post-oil economic diversification, with projects like Stargate UAE and Saudi Arabia's HUMAIN compute buildup aiming for 8-10 GW of AI capacity.

The attacks sought to deter global capital by questioning regional stability, but the Gulf states remain committed due to three unchanged fundamentals: sovereign capital with generational horizons, abundant cheap energy, and a strategic geographic location for low-latency AI inference across the Mediterranean, East Africa, and South Asia. While the strikes represent a new form of economic warfare and highlight data center vulnerabilities, the region's resilience and strategic commitment to AI infrastructure suggest a post-war rebound, necessitating enhanced defense systems and diplomatic efforts to secure these critical assets.

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