8 June 2026

Ukrainian Drone Attacks Exacerbating Tensions Between Moscow and Rest of Russia

Jamestown | Paul Goble

Ukrainian drone attacks are increasingly impacting Russia, affecting over half of its federal subjects and eroding the Kremlin's projected sense of security. These attacks are exacerbating tensions between Moscow and the regions, with both sides blaming each other for inadequate defense, contrary to expectations of national unity. This situation is driving down support for President Vladimir Putin and fostering growing fissiparous trends throughout Russia, leading to increased demands for decentralization or independence outside the capital.

Moscow's appointed "Varangian" outsiders in federal subjects are proving less reliable, often aligning with local populations against the center. While not a singular path to Ukrainian victory, these drone strikes are creating more significant problems for the Kremlin than just economic destruction or declining poll numbers, potentially leading to increased repression that could backfire.

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