Robert Farley
Lt. Col. Thomas Wolfe, the 455th Expeditionary Operations Group deputy commander, performs preflight checks on an F-16 Fighting Falcon at Bagram Airfield, Afghanistan, Feb. 1, 2016. The 421st EFS, based out of Bagram Airfield, is the only dedicated fighter squadron in the country and continuously supports Operation Freedom’s Sentinel and the NATO Resolute Support missions. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. Nicholas Rau)
-NATO’s Article V and Western alliance prestige make attacks on members far riskier than strikes on Ukraine today.
-For that reason, Russia fears Ukrainian NATO membership more than a neutral but heavily armed Ukraine.
-The column concludes that any durable settlement must bind Ukraine into a bilateral or multilateral security framework that both restrains Kyiv and credibly deters Moscow.
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