1 April 2026

The West Is Losing To Iran, And Not For The Reasons You Think – OpEd

Suminda Jayasundera

Four weeks ago, the United States and Israel set out to break Iran. Today, Iran is battered, leaderless, and more isolated than it’s ever been — and somehow, it’s still winning.

Think about what’s been accomplished: Khamenei assassinated, air defenses shredded, nuclear facilities in ruins. By any conventional military scorecard, that’s an overwhelming result. And yet Iran has already made its most consequential move: it’s closing the Strait of Hormuz. Not with a navy. With cheap drones and a willingness to absorb whatever gets thrown at it. Oil prices are spiking. The global economy is running out of runway. The decapitation worked. The strategy didn’t. And understanding why gets at something the West has fundamentally misread about Iran — not just in this campaign, but for decades.

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