13 March 2018
New Delhi is walking into the China trap
India-Seychelles security pact ‘details’ on Internet set off alarm
Pakistani troops in Saudi providing 'internal security', Khawaja Asif tells NA
Foreign Minister Khawaja Asif on Friday told lawmakers that Pakistani troops have been stationed in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for 'internal security' reasons, not to take part in the Yemen war, as other lawmakers had feared. The minister made the assurance while delivering a policy statement in the National Assembly in connection with the army's Feb 15 announcement that it was sending troops to Saudi under an existing bilateral security pact. Lawmakers from both the upper and lower houses had expressed reservations regarding the implications of the move, and NA Speaker Ayaz Sadiq had directed the Foreign Ministry to explain its decision.
Are US-Pakistan Relations Back on Track?
By Daud Khattak

How China Is Challenging
By MAX FISHER and AUDREY CARLSEN

Francis Fukuyama: China’s ‘bad emperor’ returns

China’s Military Spending
Dhruva Jaishankar
When assessing China’s military spending and modernization, we should keep six things in mind. First, China’s official military spending figures are questionable, with many independent estimates suggesting that it already spends in excess of $200 billion on its military each year. Although the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has become somewhat more transparent over the past two decades, the exact annual defence budget should be taken with a grain of salt.
China rises in Nepal, eyes Lumbini
By JAYADEVA RANADE
Is China seeking “quantum surprise?”
Elsa B. Kania
Elsa B. Kania is an adjunct fellow with the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security, where her research focuses on Chinese defense innovation and...Hype about artificial intelligence (AI) seems at or near a peak. A wave of hype is also emerging around quantum technologies, particularly quantum computing. When these two waves of hype collide, do they simply produce more hype—or could real risks, and a potential military “revolution,” arise at the convergence of AI and quantum computing?
China’s 21st Century Emperor & Its Implications for India (Paper No. 6109 Dt. 03 May 2016) Revisited
By Brigadier Subhash Kapila
China’s NPC has voted for removing the two terms stipulation to enable Chinese President Xi Jinping continue indefinitely in power. Concentration of unbridled power over China’s political and military organs of State coupled with a limitless tenure truly amounts to a formal installation of President Xi Jinping as China’s 21st Century Emperor and carries grave implications for global stability, Asian security and an escalation in China-India military confrontation. Emergence of President Xi Jinping as China’s 21st Century Emperor and its implications were analysed in my Paper quoted above in 2016 (Paper reproduced as Annexure). The threat to India’s security and Asian stability has become more pronounced in the succeeding two years.
China’s quest for techno-military supremacy
By ADAM NI
Chinese President Xi Jinping wants to transform China’s military into the world’s most powerful force by 2050. And he could be on track to do it. On the opening day of its National People’s Congress in Beijing on Monday, China announced a defense budget of 1.11 trillion yuan (US$175 billion) for 2018. That represents an 8.1% increase in its defence budget, compared to a 7% increase last year. China’s military has modernized rapidly in recent years. Since January alone, it has demonstrated new capabilities in stealth fighter jets, drones, naval ships and advanced missiles.
Baathism Caused the Chaos in Iraq and Syria
BY ROBERT D. KAPLAN

Al-Qaeda’s Resurrection
by Bruce Hoffman

Pakistan’s Tight Rope Walk Between Iran And Saudi Arabia
By Nisar Ahmed Khan*
Pakistan’s recent decision of sending a contingent of slightly above 1000 troops to Saudi Arabia apparently in violation of its own parliamentary resolution of 2015 on Yemen reflects the country’s tight rope walk between two main regional rivals i.e. Saudi Arabia and Iran and highlights the need to make arrangements for keeping the policy of neutrality intact when it comes to disputes involving Muslim states in the Middle East. From Pakistan’s perspective, the significance of keeping neutrality can be gauged from the fact that Article 40 of the constitution of Pakistan obliges it to strengthen fraternal relations among Muslim countries. Thus, dividing the Muslim world or taking side in intra-Muslim disputes is tantamount to breach of Pakistan’s constitution.
Behold Vladimir V. Potemkin
Antony J. Blinken

2018 Second-Quarter Forecast

The Implications of Russia's New Weapon Systems
ANDREI MARTYA

Ukraine’s hybrid war

What's There to Talk About With North Korea?
URI FRIEDMAN

Russia Will Challenge US Military Superiority in Europe by 2025: US General
BY PATRICK TUCKER

Italy Takes a Step Back From Europe
Ferdinando Giugliano

Rand Paul: Washington Must Move beyond the Old Foreign Policy Consensus
Matthew Reisener
Balkan EU States ‘Need Reforms To Sustain Economic Growth’
By Relja Dusek
The European Commission’s latest report said that the economies in EU member states Bulgaria, Croatia and Romania grew in 2017, but all of them failed to complete much-needed structural reforms. The economies of Croatia, Bulgaria and Romania showed some improvements last year, but all three countries face challenges to boost growth further in 2018, said the latest European Commission country report, published on Wednesday.
Bulgaria: Growth to slow but remain strong Bulgaria’s GDP growth in 2017 is estimated to have been 3.8 percent. In 2018 and 2019, GDP is expected to slow down but remain strong.
Russia Will Challenge US Military Superiority in Europe by 2025: US General

Space-Based Sensors Needed For Missile Defense Vs. Hypersonics: MDA
X-51 hypersonic test vehicle ready for launch from the wing of a B-52 bomber

‘Dicey Issue’ to Consider Going on Cyber Warfare Offense, Says DNI
Bridget Johnson

Work Completed Inserting AI into Army Drones, Says Scorpion CEO O’Brien
By Stew Magnuson and Yasmin Tadjdeh
Batteries, Bullets, & Drones: Commandant’s Wishlist For Infantry Task Force
By SYDNEY J. FREEDBERG JR.

YOU CAN LEAD, BUT CAN YOU PLAN? TIME TO CHANGE THE WAY WE DEVELOP JUNIOR LEADERS
Ethan Olberding

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