Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro survived an assassination attempt over the weekend – or at least he claims he did. In his version of the story, two drones carrying C4, an explosive that is hard to come by in Venezuela, exploded prematurely on their way to kill him. The government has blamed the United States and Colombia for the attack, but both countries have denied any involvement. And in any case, a group called Soldados de Franela claimed responsibility for the attack on Twitter, saying it was just a matter of time until Maduro was brought down. The government is calling the event a terrorist attack and has begun to round up the usual suspects. More arrests are likely on the way. The thing is, it still isn’t clear exactly what happened. Some reports say it was the result of a malfunctioned military drone, while others suggest it was merely an explosion resulting from a gas leak. And the rumor mill is predictably churning out stories that Maduro is simply taking advantage of the crisis. That’s always a possibility, but it’s worth noting that the government’s response has been much more measured compared to the last time something like this happened. (Tanks were let loose on the streets of Caracas after a stolen helicopter was used to attack the Supreme Court.) Whatever the case may be, the important thing is to monitor how the Venezuelan military and the political opposition react. So far, it doesn’t look like much will come of anything.