16 June 2026

The Lithium Mirage

Frame the Globe News

The Geological Survey of India announced in February 2023 the discovery of fifty-nine lakh tonnes of lithium resources in the Salal-Haimana area of the Reasi district in Jammu and Kashmir.

Mythos and cybersecurity reckoning: The new Artificial Intelligence challenge to critical infrastructure

ETGovernment  |  Anoop Verma

Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Preview has forced global governments, regulators, and technology companies to reassess digital security assumptions. This AI model demonstrates unprecedented ability to identify software vulnerabilities and automate complex cyber operations faster than human teams, disrupting traditional cybersecurity strategies. Anthropic's Project Glasswing reported over 10,000 high- and critical-severity software vulnerabilities across participating organizations in 15+ countries, including India.

Afghan–Pakistani Conflict Not Stopping Kabul Corridor Construction

The Jamestown Foundation  |  Nargiza Umarova

Uzbekistan is actively developing critical infrastructure to connect Central Asia to South Asia via Afghanistan, despite ongoing Afghan–Pakistani tensions. On May 21, Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, the Taliban's Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs, announced the reopening of the final port of the 75-kilometer Hairatan–Mazar-i-Sharif railway, significantly enhancing connectivity between northern Afghanistan and Uzbekistan.

Pakistan: Unexpected Host of U.S.–Iranian Talks

The Jamestown Foundation  |  Andrea Serino

Following the February 28 U.S.–Israeli joint attacks against Iran (Operation Epic Fury), Pakistan has emerged as a key mediator, leveraging its strong diplomatic ties with the United States, Iran, Gulf countries, and the People’s Republic of China. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir promoted this intermediary role, with Munir's domestic position significantly bolstered after the May 2025 India-Pakistan war.

Pakistan’s Hard-State Turn in Azad Kashmir Is Creating the Very Crisis It Seeks to Prevent

FrameTheGlobeNews  |  Frank Genovese

Pakistan's recent "hard-state turn" in Azad Kashmir, characterized by increased coercion, political centralization, and significant democratic deficits, is paradoxically generating the very crisis Islamabad seeks to avert. For decades, Pakistan has consistently advocated internationally for the Kashmiri cause, asserting the people of Jammu and Kashmir's right to self-determination.

Is Pakistan Finally A Middle Power?

FrameTheGlobeNews

Pakistan's potential evolution into a middle power is critically examined through a hypothetical lens, asserting that consistent adherence to its 1973 constitution would have unequivocally facilitated this geopolitical advancement. The analysis implicitly questions the nation's historical trajectory and constitutional fidelity, suggesting a direct correlation between constitutional governance and its international standing.

Islamabad's Government in Azad Jammu & Kashmir

Brief

Residents in Rawalakot, Azad Jammu & Kashmir, are currently grappling with severe economic pressures, primarily manifested through the pricing of essential commodities like wheat in Pakistani rupees, which are experiencing continuous devaluation, thereby eroding purchasing power. Compounding these financial difficulties, electricity consumers receive bills containing tariffs that local bureaucrats in Muzaffarabad are reportedly unable to provide a clear explanation for, leaving citizens without understanding of their charges.

ISPP’s Expanding Operational Geography in Pakistan

Jamestown Foundation  |  Rahim Nasar

Islamic State Pakistan Province (ISPP) has significantly transformed its tactical capabilities and operational geography, evolving into a decentralized network capable of carrying out attacks across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, and Islamabad. This strategic shift focuses on high-impact militant activities, targeted killings of ideological rivals like Sheikh Idrees Tarangzai, and fueling sectarian attacks, demonstrating its expanded militant architecture and urban reach.

The China-Russia Meta-Threat: The Architecture of Authoritarian Power

Center for European Policy Analysis  |  Christopher Walker

China's indispensable support has enabled Russia to sustain its full-scale war against Ukraine for over four years, a scenario once deemed unlikely by observers. By early 2026, authoritarian cooperation, including China's economic and logistical linchpin role, Iran's drone mass-production, and North Korean troop and ammunition contributions (accounting for roughly half of Russia’s artillery expenditure on the Ukrainian front in the second half of 2025), converged to prolong Europe's longest land war since WWII.

America is Still Winning the Quantum Race. Barely.

Special Competitive Studies Project

The U.S. Department of Commerce announced $2 billion in equity stakes across nine U.S. quantum computing companies last month, marking the largest federal investment in the commercial quantum sector. This investment aims to strengthen the United States' overall lead in quantum information science, engineering, and technology (QISET), as China's capabilities are rapidly advancing.

Signs of Passivity Emerge Among Senior Officers

Jamestown  |  K. Tristan Tang

Central Military Commission (CMC) Vice Chairman Zhang Shengmin chaired a special meeting on May 27, addressing perceived passivity among senior People’s Liberation Army (PLA) officers in advancing military development and war preparation. This gathering, focused on “deepening the equipping [of the armed forces] with Xi Jinping Thought on Strengthening the Military,” included operational commanders, signaling concerns beyond routine ideological study.

China's Techno-Industrial Strategy in the Xi Era

RAND | Gerard DiPippo, Jonathon Sine, Benjamin Lenain

China's techno-industrial policy under Xi Jinping has evolved into a more centralized, security-linked, and finance-driven system, prioritizing national security, technological self-reliance, and frontier leadership over growth. The Party-state utilizes five channels and 18 instruments to define priorities, mobilize resources, and discipline firms, achieving impressive gains in technological capabilities and supply chain resilience.

Trump says US will hit Iran 'hard' again today

BBC News  |  Jaroslav Lukiv, Amy Walker, Ghoncheh Habibiazad

President Donald Trump announced the US would strike Iran "hard" again on Wednesday, following overnight exchanges. US Central Command (Centcom) confirmed launching strikes against "multiple targets" in Iran, citing "unwarranted and continued aggression" after Tuesday's US strikes, which followed an Apache helicopter downing near the Strait of Hormuz.

The Axis Of Resistance: Rise of the Shia Militias

Niti Shastra  |  Navroop Singh, Himja Parekh

The Axis of Resistance, a sophisticated transnational Shia militia network meticulously nurtured by Tehran, has been violently shattered by unprecedented direct wars between Israel, the United States, and Iran from 2024 to 2026. This geopolitical inferno forced the network into a chaotic transformation, adapting to the fall of allied regimes, assassination of foundational leaders, and the sudden vulnerability of its primary patron.

Iran Nuclear Deal: How the Collapse of the JCPOA Fuelled the 2026 Gulf Conflict

Niti Shastra  |  Navroop Singh, Himja Parekh

The February 2026 United States and Israeli airstrikes, including the targeted assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and the subsequent crippling blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, represent the culmination of decades of diplomatic failures and proxy warfare. This crisis, marked by desperate negotiations over Iran’s weaponized nuclear material, is rooted in the collapse of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the preceding Maximum Pressure campaign.

Ban Chinese Drone Parts? Good Luck

CEPA  |  James Hasik

The US government's ban on new drone imports from China and Ukraine, aimed at achieving "American drone dominance," is an industrial policy likely to fail. Full self-sufficiency is impossible, as protectionism decreases general welfare and inhibits innovation, similar to the Jones Act's impact on American shipbuilding. Ukraine, however, is rapidly producing military innovations with revolutionary effects in its war against Russian invaders, leveraging accessible Chinese components to build a massive domestic industry.

Russia Is Expanding Military Bases Along NATO's Border

Olga Lautman Substack  |  Olga Lautman

Russia is rapidly expanding its military presence near the borders of Norway, Finland, and the Baltic states, with satellite imagery revealing construction and expansion at 19 military sites from the Norwegian border to Kaliningrad. These new bases, barracks, and depots could eventually support between 80,000 and 115,000 troops, according to a joint investigation.

Drone warfare in Ukraine: Behemoth, autonomous interceptors, and drone diplomacy

Ukraine's Arms Monitor  |  Olena Kryzhanivska

Ukraine's middle-strike drone campaign is actively targeting Russian logistics and air defense systems, with over 300 verified strikes. On June 7, 2026, the new domestic Shahed-like Behemoth drone was publicly used for the first time in a raid on the Chonhar Bridge, a key logistics route connecting occupied Kherson Oblast with occupied Crimea.

The gap that never closes

Samf Substack  |  Sam Freedman

England's education system, despite significant policy efforts like the pupil premium and initiatives from organizations such as Teach First, has failed to close the persistent gap in exam results between low-income children and their wealthier peers. Author Sam Freedman notes that while overall education quality has improved, the gap remains stubborn and has widened since 2020, a trend observed globally.

Is there a new AI wealth gap?

Innovating with AI | Toni Matthews-El

A 2025 Pew Research Study revealed a significant "AI wealth gap" in the U.S., with 55% of college graduates and 60% of post-graduates familiar with AI trends, versus 38% of high school graduates. This disparity, concentrated among wealthier and more educated individuals, prompts concerns about AI exacerbating existing economic inequalities.

One Year On: Ukraine’s Airfield Blitz Still Echoes

Cepa  |  Henry Patton, Noah Greene

Ukraine's Operation Spiderweb drone attacks one year ago targeted Russian strategic airfields, including Olenya, Dyagilevo, Ivanovo, and Belaya, destroying at least 12 aircraft and damaging others. These attacks, reaching 1,100 miles into Russia, demonstrated Ukraine's capability to strike deep within enemy territory, hitting missile-firing aircraft. The success also served as a warning to Western allies, highlighting vulnerabilities in their own air forces and critical infrastructure, as evidenced by recent attacks on US tankers and airborne early warning aircraft in the Iran war.

How France’s new nuclear doctrine strengthens NATO

The Bulletin  |  Etienne Marcuz

President Emmanuel Macron announced major changes to France’s nuclear doctrine on March 2 from the ÃŽle Longue naval base, aiming to adapt to new global geostrategic challenges, particularly the return of high-intensity conflict in Europe. France will increase its nuclear arsenal and introduced a new strategic concept of forward deterrence (dissuasion avancée), allowing active participation by selected European allies in French nuclear operations.

Speed as a Weapon: How AI is Transforming Army Defensive Cyber Operations

Army.mil | Staff Sgt. Matthew Garrett

U.S. Army Cyber Command (ARCYBER) is rapidly integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) into its defensive cyber operations, transforming the digital battlefield where speed is the primary weapon against adversaries. The Department of War's AI Acceleration Strategy, launched in January 2026, mandates the integration of AI capabilities across all domains to establish an AI-first warfighting force.

The US would need at least 1,200 troops to take Kharg Island, experts say

Task & Purpose  |  Jeff Schogol

U.S. military experts indicate that capturing Kharg Island from Iran would require at least 1,200 troops, though holding it presents greater challenges. Kharg Island, located 15-20 miles off the Iranian coast, processes approximately 90% of Iran’s crude oil exports. Retired Army Gen. Joseph Votel suggested a reinforced battalion to brigade-sized force of 1,200 to 4,000 troops, stressing the need for air cover, logistics, engineering, and evacuation capabilities for sustainment.

Rubicon Reveals Limits of Russia’s Drone Centralization

Jamestown Foundation  |  Leonid Sokolov

Russia is transforming its Rubicon Center from an experimental drone detachment into a centralized hub and strike tool for unmanned warfare, aiming to scale elite drone capabilities across multiple operational groupings. This initiative seeks to institutionalize unmanned warfare through a state-controlled structure, standardizing doctrine and scaling technological innovations across the front.

15 June 2026

Can India’s Digital Economy Draw Cues from the East India Company?

Takshashila Dispatch  |  Kripa Koshy

India's digital economy, despite its fifth-most digitalized ranking and robust public infrastructure, faces new challenges in a global order shifting from open trade to mercantilism and economic statecraft, according to Nitin Pai. He argues that the powerful now seek to own entire supply chains, viewing interdependence through the lens of chokepoints rather than mutual gain, necessitating prudent steps to manage risks.

The furious dispute over what caused Air India flight 171 to crash

BBC  |  Theo Leggett

Air India Flight 171 crashed on June 12 last year, 32 seconds after take-off from Ahmedabad, India, killing 230 passengers (169 Indian, 53 British) and 19 on the ground, with one survivor. India's Aircraft Accident Investigation Bureau (AAIB) is investigating, but its preliminary report has generated intense controversy.

Why China’s Xi wants a ‘brighter’ future with North Korea

CNN  |  Simone McCarthy, Yoonjung Seo

Chinese leader Xi Jinping's first visit to North Korea in seven years aimed to articulate China's future alignment with its nuclear-armed treaty ally amidst global flux. During talks in Pyongyang, Xi told Kim Jong Un that both sides should "open up a brighter prospect for the socialist cause of the two countries as well as regional peace and development."

The Fault Lines in China’s Power: America Must Build—and Use—Leverage Against Beijing

Foreign Affairs | Ely Ratner and Nick Danby

The U.S.-Chinese trade war of 2025 exposed a profound strategic deficit when China weaponized its 90 percent global command of rare-earth processing, imposing export controls. This move threatened American manufacturing and the U.S. defense industrial base, forcing the Trump administration to concede tariffs and other demands. Beijing thus reset the relationship's terms in its favor, highlighting Washington's failure to leverage China's vulnerabilities.

Korean Peninsula Update, June 9, 2026

Understanding War | Yeji Chung

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary Xi Jinping implicitly legitimized North Korean demands for nuclear program recognition and sanctions relief during his June 8-9, 2026, visit to Pyongyang. Xi acknowledged the regime’s “sovereignty and security” interests, likely raising the threshold for future North Korean engagement with the United States and South Korea by excluding denuclearization discussions.

How China Misperceives Itself

Foreign Affairs  |  Francesca Ghiretti

China currently confronts significant challenges, including decelerating economic growth, an aging demographic, financial system strain, and increasing trade restrictions from other nations. The author argues that great powers typically falter not from ignorance of their issues, but from misdiagnosing or incompletely identifying their fundamental causes. The crucial distinction between states that adapt and those that stagnate lies in their ability to precisely diagnose weaknesses, differentiate between transient limitations and structural impediments, and muster the political resolve necessary for profound reforms.

The Real Problem With Global Trade: How China’s Currency Manipulation Is Warping the World Economy

Foreign Affairs | Brad Setser and Shahin Vallée

China's persistent currency undervaluation, particularly the renminbi, is warping the world economy and driving significant global trade imbalances, a problem French President Emmanuel Macron highlighted for the Group of Seven meeting in Évian. Since 2018, China's overall trade surplus has tripled, fueled by a weakened renminbi following its 2021 property bubble collapse and ongoing state bank interventions.

Don’t Give Up on Global Order

Foreign Affairs  |  Philip H. Gordon

A significant consensus is emerging among Americans regarding contemporary politics and international relations, asserting that the long-standing liberal world order, established after World War II, is now definitively dead and buried. This global framework, built upon a system of U.S.-led alliances, various multilateral institutions, and a commitment to relatively open trade, also vigorously defended core international rules and norms such as state sovereignty, nonaggression, and freedom of navigation.

Washington and Tehran’s Very Dangerous Moment

Carnegie Endowment | Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar

The U.S.-Iran relationship has entered a highly dangerous phase, characterized by a "rapid-fire game of ping-pong" where rules of engagement are constantly changing, leading to increased risks. Iran is simultaneously managing military, economic, and internal conflicts, with its society deeply fragmented between anger, pro-government rallies, and fear amid triple-digit food inflation.

Washington’s Asian Allies Need a Backup Plan

Foreign Policy  |  Mira Rapp-Hooper, Zack Cooper

U.S. President Donald Trump recently considered delaying a $14 billion arms sales package to Taiwan, already authorized by Congress. Concurrently, the Trump administration announced, backtracked, and then pressed ahead with plans to reduce U.S. assets in Europe, without substantial consultations with allies. These two seismic shifts, experienced by U.S.