Pakistan has executed a significant diplomatic pivot, positioning itself as a key power player during a Trump administration by strategically adapting its foreign policy approach. Islamabad has demonstrably learned how to effectively 'sell diplomacy' to the U.S. president, indicating a sophisticated understanding of the unique transactional and image-focused preferences of the Trump era.
Indian Strategic Studies
9 June 2026
From Gilgit to Gwadar, the Lights Come On in Lahore First
Pakistan's first urban rail system, the Orange Line Metro Train in Lahore, was constructed with Chinese loans and Punjab subsidies, costing over two hundred billion rupees, primarily through the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). This "early harvest" urban transport project starkly contrasts with the persistent lack of reliable power and water in CPEC's strategic endpoints, Gilgit-Baltistan and Gwadar.
Delving Deeper: China Tests New Waters in East China Sea Oil and Gas
China has constructed three new oil and gas platforms in the East China Sea over the past year, drawing formal protests from Japan. These platforms, completed in late August 2025, January 2026, and April 2026, align with exploratory drilling from 2022-2025. Tracking data from Chinese mobile drilling rigs and survey ships indicates Beijing may expand operations into waters more sensitive for Tokyo, increasing friction.
Dubai looks back to normal. Beneath the surface it’s a different story
Dubai's tourism sector faces a significant test, struggling to restore traveler confidence despite surface-level normalcy after a regional conflict involving Iran disrupted airspace and brought drone attacks to recognizable landmarks. While traffic, restaurants, and flights have largely resumed, underlying confidence has not returned, forcing hotels and hospitality businesses to work harder to attract visitors.
Interview – Brent J. Steele
Brent J. Steele discusses current research and debates in International Relations, highlighting three key areas: innovation within ontological security studies (OSS), work on 'creating' and 'making' in IR including art as resistance, and the Women in the History of International Thought (WHIT) project. Steele notes a shift in his own thinking, now valuing order and routine for resistance after observing disruptions in US politics and foreign policy, and gaining sympathy for restraint, including the Just War Tradition.
How the war on terror primed America for autocracy
The war on terror directly primed America for autocracy, establishing a clear and direct path from the 9/11 attacks to the events of January 6th, according to the article's core thesis. Author Rosa Brooks vividly recounts her personal experience of learning about the 9/11 attacks, a moment shared by virtually every American over 40.
The Captured State By Design
The United States House of Representatives passed a non-binding war powers resolution on June 3, 2026, directing Donald Trump to halt military operations against Iran without congressional authorization, following airstrikes on February 28 that killed Iran’s supreme leader and transported 90,000 tons of US military equipment to Israel.
Trump’s Iran War Has No Clean Endgame — and the Likeliest Deal Would Favor Tehran
U.S. President Donald J. Trump faces an unfavorable endgame in the ongoing conflict with Iran, marked by a shaky ceasefire, double blockades, and limited progress on Iran's nuclear program. The United States is in a weaker position than before the war, with the Strait of Hormuz largely closed and economic impacts mounting.
Ukrainian Drone Attacks Widen Rift Between Moscow And Russian Regions – Analysis
Ukrainian drone attacks have brought the war home to Russia, affecting its population and elites across federal subjects and eroding the Kremlin's projected sense of security. This campaign is driving down support for President Vladimir Putin, destroying infrastructure, and exacerbating tensions between Moscow and its regions, leading to growing problems in controlling federal subjects.
Special Report: A Perfect Storm – Russia Losing Its War Against Ukraine May Lead to Regime Change
Russia is facing a "perfect storm" of military setbacks, economic deterioration, public dissatisfaction, and elite fragmentation, which could threaten President Vladimir Putin's regime. The Russian military is experiencing severe manpower challenges, with casualties exceeding volunteer recruitment, forcing reliance on convicts, debtors, and migrants, leading to reduced battlefield effectiveness.
Ukraine Turns the Tide: Why a Cease-Fire Is Now a Real Possibility
Ukraine's war has reached a turning point, fostering optimism in Kyiv that a cease-fire is now a real possibility as Russian attacks exert less pressure and combat performance wanes. While Russia out-recruited losses in 2024-2025, Ukraine began addressing manpower issues in mid-2025 by establishing army "corps" for training and better integrating infantry, uncrewed systems, artillery, and armor.
Israel can’t kill the Hezbollah hydra
Israel's 2026 incursion into South Lebanon, pushing past the Litani River, aims to reoccupy the region, echoing its 1982 invasion and subsequent 20-year quagmire. This operation follows the decimation of Hezbollah's leadership in September 2024, which Tel Aviv and Washington believed rendered the group a "spent force." However, Hezbollah, with direct command from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) since the 2024 ceasefire, has reorganized into a flatter, small-unit guerrilla structure.
Palestinians Need to Acknowledge Israel's Right to Exist
Israel's historical presence in the land is extensively supported by archaeological evidence, countering Palestinian claims of indigeneity as part of a "settler colonial narrative." Ancient artifacts like a 1207 BCE Egyptian stele mentioning Israel, a 9th-century BCE stele referencing King David, and Emperor Cyrus's 6th-century BCE decree for Jewish return, alongside sites like Megiddo and Masada, Rome’s Arch of Titus, and coins, demonstrate a deep Jewish connection.
The Convergence Crisis: Silicon Valuations, Middle East Escalation & the Emerging Market Squeeze
US equities experienced a violent stress test on Friday, June 5, 2026, with nearly $2.5 trillion wiped out and the Nasdaq plummeting 4.18% after a robust jobs report aggressively repriced Federal Reserve rate hike expectations for December 2026. This systemic selloff is driven by physical crude shortages, with commercial inventories and the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve projected to reach critical depletion by mid-June and August 2026, respectively, intensified by the Strait of Hormuz chokehold.
Ukraine Turns the Tide: Why a Cease-Fire Is Now a Real Possibility
Ukraine's military situation has reached a turning point, fostering optimism in Kyiv that a cease-fire with Russia is now a real possibility as Russian combat performance wanes and attacks exert less pressure. This shift stems from Ukraine's reversal of its manpower decline and improved tactical proficiency, contrasting with 2024-2025 when Russia out-recruited losses and Ukraine's lines thinned.
Are Data Centers the Villains in the Battle Over Electricity?
Data centers are increasingly perceived as "villains" in electricity supply debates, particularly in Lake Tahoe and Virginia, due to their surging power demands and associated community impacts. Public opposition is significant, with seven in ten Americans opposing local data center construction, citing concerns about noise and pollution, including greenhouse gas emissions from increased natural gas consumption.
Trump’s AI Order Won’t Stymie U.S. Competition with China
President Donald Trump signed an executive order on AI on Tuesday, aimed at reducing cybersecurity risks and establishing a voluntary government testing program for new models thirty days before public release. This order, a slimmed-down version, was initially delayed due to concerns about hindering U.S. competition with China.
I Think, Therefore I Am Getting Paid by an AI Company
The field of philosophy has increasingly turned its attention to artificial intelligence, with major tech companies and universities hiring philosophers to shape AI's future. In 2013, 1 percent of PhilJobs roles were AI-related; last year, this figure reached 16 percent. Philosophers, long contemplating artificial minds and highlighting AI dangers, are now crucial for building "virtuous machines."
We need an AI pause button. It’s time to stop and think
The rapid, unchecked investment in Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly large language models (LLMs) like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, demands a societal pause to consider its profound consequences. ChatGPT alone consumes 850 Mw of power daily, exceeding India's total non-fossil-fuel capacity, raising concerns about energy utility for often trivial applications. The unprecedented pace of AI adoption, with ChatGPT reaching one million users in five days, outstrips human capacity for upskilling, threatening job creation and existing employment, as seen with Anthropic's Claude Cowork impacting software services.
New Light-Touch Trump AI Cyber Executive Order Reveals Accelerationists Still Rule the Roost
The Trump administration released a new light-touch executive order (EO) on June 2, 2026, titled “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security,” addressing AI cybersecurity risks. This EO reveals the administration's limited appetite for regulating the booming AI industry, despite public skepticism and the emergence of advanced AI models like Anthropic’s Mythos and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Cyber, which demonstrate significant cyber capabilities.
Cognitive Warfare at the Crossroads: Defining and Developing Capabilities
The U.S. military must conceptualize cognitive warfare as a campaign, not discrete techniques, recognizing its unique and evolving domain beyond traditional psychological operations. This multidimensional battlespace integrates biological (neurophysiological substrates, pharmacological agents, directed energies, gene-editing), psychological (subjective experience, decision-making, exploiting biases), and social (group identity, cultural narratives, trust manipulation) factors.
Iran’s New Grand Strategy: How a Remade Islamic Republic Will Reshape the Middle East
The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran in February 2026, initially aimed at regime collapse, unexpectedly transformed the Islamic Republic. The conflict, marked by large-scale bombing and a U.S. naval blockade, failed to decimate Iran's military and industrial capacity or incite a popular uprising. Instead, it forged a new, resilient Iran.
JUST IN: U.S. Cyber Force an ‘Inevitability,’ Experts Say
A commission of military, academic, and private sector experts spent 10 months evaluating the establishment of a U.S. Cyber Force, concluding it is an "inevitability" requiring advanced planning, drawing lessons from the Space Force's creation. The Commission on U.S. Cyber Force Generation, formed by the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, released its June 3 report defining an implementation plan.
A New Sunni Axis – OpEd
A new security alliance of Sunni states, termed the “Sunni axis,” is emerging, centered on the Pakistan-Saudi Arabia Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement (SMDA) signed on September 17, 2025. This pact includes a collective defense clause echoing NATO’s Article 5 and is intended for expansion to include Turkey, Qatar, and potentially Egypt, forming a counterweight to Iran’s Shi’ite network.
The Pentagon is rewriting how it buys AI — control of the future of warfare
The Pentagon is overhauling its technology sourcing, shifting from monolithic, single-vendor platforms to a modular, multi-vendor cloud architecture for artificial intelligence. This "best of breed" strategy aims to accelerate its "AI-first" warfighting vision by distributing capabilities across firms like SpaceX for connectivity, OpenAI and Google for frontier models, Nvidia for compute, Reflection for open-weight ecosystems, and Microsoft, Oracle, and AWS for enterprise deployment.
8 June 2026
The Great Reversal: How America is Redirecting Indian Capital, Trade Surpluses & Strategic Supply Chains
The United States is actively implementing a "Great Reversal" strategy, redirecting Indian capital, trade surpluses and strategic supply chains to bolster its own economy and re-industrialize. Indian outward foreign direct investment into the US surged by 52% to approximately $4.4 billion in FY 2024-25, representing 15% of India's total global OFDI.
Arms control, risk reduction, and the art of the possible
The expiration of New START in February has eliminated treaty limits on major nuclear arsenals, raising serious concerns about a new arms race, particularly given China’s nuclear buildup. Despite the prudent need for immediate nuclear arms control talks, political will is currently lacking among the United States, Russia, and China.
The Chinese ‘Rules and Future’ of Global Trade
The People’s Republic of China (PRC) is actively shaping global trade standards, particularly in data control and customs clearance, favoring Chinese platforms that offer end-to-end visibility into global shipping. This system, lacking a Western equivalent, creates data asymmetry, enabling PRC actors to identify supply chain chokepoints, exploit critical resource dependencies, and circumvent tariffs, sanctions, and export controls.
The Pharma Choke Point
U.S. dependence on China for essential medicines is structural, encompassing generic drugs, biologics manufacturing, and sensitive biotechnology R&D infrastructure. China's state investment has fostered this reliance, creating a significant risk that Beijing will deliberately withhold pharmaceutical inputs as a tool of economic or political coercion, akin to its actions with rare-earth minerals.
The U.S. Took Over Venezuela’s Oil Industry. Where Has All the Money Gone?
The United States, following a January 3 military intervention that deposed Venezuelan leader Nicolรกs Maduro, has controlled Venezuela’s oil exports, with almost one hundred million barrels worth an estimated $8 billion flowing through an opaque process in the first four months. The Trump administration has not publicly disclosed how much oil it sold, revenue collected, or fund usage, despite conflicting statements from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Energy Chris Wright regarding $500 million disbursed via a Qatar account.
The Stockpile Gap: How America Can Secure the Strategic Materials It Needs to Win
The United States launched Project Vault, a $12 billion initiative announced by President Donald Trump in February 2026, to secure critical minerals and protect American businesses from supply-chain disruptions and economic coercion. This program, supported by a $10 billion U.S. Export-Import Bank loan and nearly $2 billion from private investors, focuses on rare earth elements, aluminum, antimony, copper, germanium, silver, and zirconium.
The Transatlantic Crucible: Why the Crisis Between Washington and Europe May Be a Blessing in Disguise
Eighteen months into his second U.S. presidential term, Donald Trump has profoundly altered the country’s relationships with its transatlantic allies. His administration's rhetoric toward partners has been corrosive, and its policies erratic, collectively undermining the foundational post–World War II settlement and the post–Cold War security architecture in unprecedented ways, even compared to his first term.
What the US Air Force Isn’t Telling Congress About the A-10 Warthog
The US Air Force is actively attempting to eliminate the A-10 Warthog program, despite congressional intent, through institutional neglect, resource starvation, and bureaucratic maneuvers. The fleet has been cut from nearly 350 aircraft in 2013 to 103, with plans for further reduction to 54 by next year. The Air Force buried positive A-10 vs.
Researchers Calculate The Maximum Debt The U.S. Can Sustain
The United States has approximately 20 years to address its national debt before reaching an estimated debt capacity limit of about 210% of gross domestic product, according to new research from the Penn Wharton Budget Model. At this threshold, even a 100% tax on labor income would be insufficient to cover interest costs, making stabilization through labor-tax increases alone impossible.
Russia is Losing its Strategic Depth
Ukraine's expanding long-range drone campaign is eroding Russia's strategic depth, bringing major Russian cities, industrial centers, and critical energy infrastructure within range and exposing vulnerabilities once protected by geography. Growing attacks inside Russian territory have forced regions and businesses, including those in Siberia and the Far East, to fund their own air-defense measures, highlighting Moscow’s inability to provide adequate protection and increasing strain on Russia’s domestic political and economic stability.