Amr Hamzawy
The Middle East Program in Washington combines in-depth regional knowledge with incisive comparative analysis to provide deeply informed recommendations. With expertise in the Gulf, North Africa, Iran, and Israel/Palestine, we examine crosscutting themes of political, economic, and social change in both English and Arabic.Learn More
The war between Israel, the United States, and Iran has pushed the Middle East into a state of profound instability. On one side, Israel (assisted by the United States) maintains significant advantages in military, technological, and intelligence capabilities that have wreaked destruction on Iran’s nuclear facilities and scientists, as well as its military capabilities.
On the other, the government of the Islamic Republic still retains missiles, drones, and remnants of its regional proxies to launch missiles at Israel, threaten U.S. military bases in the region, and block or hamper critical waterways for shipping. Meanwhile, much of the Gulf is sidelined.
As an uneasy ceasefire between Israel and Iran holds, it’s worth examining what comes next for a region with dramatically shifting power dynamics. Can an imbalance of power between Israel’s vast capabilities and those of its neighbors truly produce security or lasting peace? The Middle Eastern countries that seek collective security may be losing the strategic war to Israeli aggression.
Since the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, Iran has used its network of proxies to exert its influence in the region. But after Israel’s successful targeting of these proxies and allies—and Israeli and American attacks on Iran itself—the likelihood of Iran reclaiming its status as a powerful regional force, a rival to Israel,
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