2 October 2018

Changing dynamics threaten America's global leadership

Steve Corbin

Of the 195 countries the United States interacts with, three countries are not fazed when President Trump rails against NATO, NAFTA, United Nations, World Trade Organization, climate accord, European Union, Iran’s seven-nation nuclear agreement, TPP and imposed trade tariffs.

They are China, North Korea and Russia, which have common borders and house 21 percent of the world’s population. (China has 90 percent among the three.)

China is the biggest exporter to the U.S. ($502 billion annually) and only imports $122 billion of American products. Should China feel threatened by the litany of Trump’s unprecedented policies?


Here are a dozen reasons why not.

China, along with North Korea and Russia, are autocratic countries, interconnected by railways, seas, rivers, highways and airways; North Korea and Russia are heavily dependent upon China’s products, goods and services.

According to the International Monetary Fund, China has 19 percent of the world’s economic output.

Based on GDP purchasing power parity, China has the world’s largest economy; the U.S. is third.

China’s $8 trillion "Belt and Road Initiative" is a massive infrastructure project bringing together the economies of 76 countries from East Asia to Western Europe (60 percent of the world’s population) and Africa to accommodate free trade.

China has created a multinational development bank in cooperation with Germany, France, United Kingdom and Australia.

China is the largest contributor to international peacekeeping efforts within the U.N. Security Council.

Over six years ago China launched its "16+1" free-trade project with several Southern and Eastern European states.

China is working with the International Monetary Fund to make the "renminbi" a reserve currency alongside the dollar.

"Made in China 2025" is a massive strategic plan to increase Chinese made content of core materials to 70 percent by 2025, focusing on high-technology fields and becoming the major manufacturing power — a real existential threat to America’s technological leadership.

China holds the largest amount ($1.18 trillion) of U.S. government bonds and public debt ($6.2 trillion). If China ever unloaded even a part of their hoard of American debt, it would send U.S. interest rates sky high.

China is not flinching one iota with Trump’s trade tariff edict. Chinese officials are tightening regulations and increasing inspections of the 430 U.S. businesses operating in China, which will make the climate less hospitable to the point their CEOs will let Trump know his ill-advised trade tariffs are greatly harming their profit-and-loss statement.

Most telling of China’s increasing international prowess, is the nation has undergone a rapid military modernization (as has Russia) and dramatically expanded its naval fleet, projected to surpass U.S. capacity by 2030. One-third of global maritime trade flows past China, North Korea and Russia borders. With China, North Korea and Russia maintaining power in the Pacific Ocean, East China Sea, South China Sea and Bering Sea, they — not the United States — will be the more appealing partners for 195 countries to trade with one another and feel protected by China’s Navy.

China, North Korea and Russia know they’ve got the United States over a barrel on multiple fronts.

The past two years of Trump’s authoritarian-isolationist-nationalism strategy runs counter to longstanding U.S. policies and real financial damage is growing for individuals, families, entrepreneurs, small business owners and corporations.

We should replace our failed spineless legislators — of every political persuasion — with bold and globally educated leaders who will quit fighting with one another, put people before party and wisely protect our economic prosperity, let alone our freedom.

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