13 June 2026

Powering the Front: Tactical Energy Delivery and Management in the Ukraine War

Army.mil | COL Joseph Serowik, MAJ Jakub Szulczyk

Electricity has become a decisive enabler in contemporary warfare, with modern forces depending on its uninterrupted flow for operational tempo, sustaining radios, drones, C2 systems, EW equipment, and precision-guided weapons. In the ongoing Ukraine War, electricity is both a strategic target and a tactical necessity, as Russia deliberately strikes Ukraine’s national power grid.

Houthis attack Israel and announce ban on Israeli vessels in the Red Sea

Long War Journal  |  Bridget Toomey

On June 8, Yemen’s Houthis fired missiles at central Israel as the Jewish state and Iran exchanged fire for the first time since the April 7 ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran. The Houthis launched two missiles, one intercepted and one falling short, targeting the Tel Aviv area.

Putin’s Problem Isn’t That He’s Losing The Ukraine War. It’s That He Can’t Afford to Stop Fighting It

National Security Journal  |  Harrison Kass

Ukraine's escalating campaign inside Russia, involving deep drone strikes on oil infrastructure, attacks on military airfields, logistics interdiction, and the assassination of senior Russian military figures like Lt. Gen. Fanil Sarvarov, aims to impose significant costs. While these actions, including targeting Moscow-area and St. Petersburg refineries, create command disruption and economic pressure, the author argues they are unlikely to force President Putin to negotiate peace.

Hit It with Your Best Shot

Center for a New American Security | Emily Kilcrease

The United States requires an economic pressure doctrine to guide its adversarial economic statecraft, based on an analysis of 20 prior and ongoing U.S. cases including embargoes, modern sanctions, technology denial, and trade coercion. This report proposes nine principles for American economic pressure, categorized into strategic and operational levels.

Subterranean Operations: Israeli Defense Force Lessons from Gaza

Army.mil | Phillip Andrews

The 7 October 2023 Hamas attack prompted the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) to launch Operation Swords of Iron in Gaza, confronting an extensive, complex tunnel system. This "Gaza Metro," estimated at 350-450 miles with 5,700 shafts integrated into civilian infrastructure, facilitates Hamas's offensive, defensive, logistical, and command and control operations, challenging IDF conventional superiority.

Thwarting Communications Blackout

CNAS | Jacob Stokes and Ryan Claffey

China is actively contesting information control across the Taiwan Strait through targeting undersea cables, satellite communication systems, and the electromagnetic spectrum. Taiwan, primarily connected by 15 undersea cables, experienced 28 human-caused incidents from 2022-2025, with three suspected as deliberate PRC sabotage. Taipei is hardening infrastructure and improving monitoring to deter further cuts, which could reduce bandwidth but not fully sever connectivity.

Countering terrorist propaganda in the age of AI

Atlantic Council  |  Danielle Cosgrove, Doug Livermore, Erin K. McFee, Morgan Tadych, Timothy “Tito” Torres

Terrorist groups such as Hamas, al-Qaeda, and ISIS are increasingly leveraging modern technologies, including social media and generative AI, to drastically shorten the time between radicalization, recruitment, and violent action. This digital shift allows them to operate effectively without physical caliphates, exposing many more people to propaganda and enabling rapid mobilization.

Closing the Gap Between Threat and Rival

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters  |  Antulio J. Echevarria II

The United States security documents typically describe adversaries as threats or competitors, but rarely acknowledge that behavior patterns among interstate rivals, such as China, Russia, and Iran, differ fundamentally from those of mere threats or competitors. This article explores the advantages and risks associated with leveraging interstate rivalry frameworks for strategy development and planning.

Defining Autonomy: Why Software, Not Drones, Will Decide the Next War

CSIS | Kateryna Bondar and Matt Mande

On June 5, 2026, a new National Security Presidential Memorandum, NSPM-11, directed the secretary of defense to update Department of Defense Directive 3000.09 within 90 days, explicitly to keep pace with rapidly evolving AI capabilities. The article argues this update must expand the definition of a lethal autonomous weapon system beyond physical effectors like drones to include the AI software orchestrating the kill chain, which selects and engages targets without human intervention.

Turkey’s Quiet Realignment

Foreign Affairs  |  Gonul Tol

Turkey has frequently generated concern among Western analysts regarding its alignment with the United States and Europe over the past two and a half decades. These anxieties first arose in 2003 when the Turkish parliament voted against granting U.S. forces access to Turkish territory for the invasion of Iraq.

Delivery by drone: the future of force sustainment

International Institute for Strategic Studies  |  Rex Fox O'Loughlin

China began testing a different approach along the disputed Sino-Indian border in the Himalayas in 2020, using ten uninhabited aerial vehicles (UAVs) to deliver supplies to soldiers in Tibet, replacing a 120-soldier, two-to-three-day journey. This demonstrates how drone logistics can reshape military deployment and sustainment, enabling forces to disperse into smaller, more remote units operating farther from established logistics hubs.

WARDEN’S FIVE RINGS AND REGIME CHANGE IN IRAN

War Room, U.S. Army War College  |  Jacob A. Stoil

John Warden's five-ring model, which posits that targeting enemy leadership can cause regime collapse, is challenged by Jacob Stoil regarding its applicability to Iran. Stoil argues that while a recent effective decapitation strike in Iran caused temporary paralysis, it neither brought down the regime nor secured victory.

SHALL I PLAY A GAME? WARGAMING IN PME

War Room  |  Keith Burkepile

Keith Burkepile, after four years at the U.S. Army War College, strongly advocates for wargames, moving from a "maybe" to an "enthusiastic 'Yes.'" Wargames bridge the gap between classroom theory and real-world pressure, allowing leaders to experience decision consequences. They provide an experiential learning environment fostering strategic thinking, operational planning, and joint force integration, which is difficult to assess through Socratic dialogue alone.

SEEING FIRST, WINNING LATER THE RISE OF SPACE IN U.S. WARFARE

War Room  |  Benjamin Moseman

Modern warfare has transitioned from raw firepower to absolute information dominance, establishing space as the foundation of U.S. military power. Operation Midnight Hammer in 2025 exemplified this shift, as 125 American aircraft, including seven B-2 stealth bombers, conducted precision strikes against fortified Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.

The Cyber Crucible: Eastern Europe, Russia, and the Development of Modern Warfare

Army University Press  |  Wesley P. White

Russia has demonstrated a masterclass in integrating cyber capabilities into modern conflicts, viewing cyberspace operations as a primary means of force projection rather than merely supporting kinetic forces. General Valery Gerasimov's 2013 article, "The Value of Science is in the Foresight," suggested "contactless actions" through cyber or electronic means would become main military tools, a concept dubbed the Gerasimov Doctrine.

Russia-China Military Ties: Behind the Window Dressing

CEPA | Mathieu Boulègue

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12 June 2026

Why Does the G7 Keep Inviting India to its Summits?

The Diplomat  |  Swaran Singh

India's recurring invitations to G7 summits, despite its non-alignment with Western powers, reflect both New Delhi's growing global influence and the G7's evolving strategy for legitimacy. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will attend the upcoming G7 Summit in Évian, France, as a guest, continuing a trend of over a dozen summits since 2003.

The Future of Development Finance Is Not Primarily About Money

Project Syndicate  |  Tanu M. Goyal, Shekhar Aiyar

Multilateral development banks (MDBs), including the World Bank, must evolve their operating model as the global financial environment changes and more countries achieve middle-income status. For nations like India, which has significantly deepened its capital markets and reduced reliance on external finance to cover its fiscal deficit from 15% in 1991 to 1.5% by 2025–26, accessing knowledge and technology is now a greater challenge than raising capital.

Pakistan Bans Azad Kashmir’s Largest Rights Movement, Kills Eleven, and Plans for an Election

FrameTheGlobeNews

Pakistan has banned Azad Kashmir’s largest rights movement, the Joint Awami Action Committee (JAAC), proscribing it as a terrorist organization and killing eleven people, while simultaneously planning an election for July 27. This action follows JAAC's demands for reduced electricity costs, wheat subsidies, and the abolition of twelve constitutionally protected assembly seats that have historically ensured Islamabad's preferred government in Muzaffarabad since 1975.

Moscow’s New Military Partner Has Something Russia Needs More Than Allies

The Diplomat  |  Yama Sekandar

Russia and Afghanistan’s Taliban will establish a formal partnership, announced on May 14 by Sergei Shoigu, secretary of the Russian Security Council, covering security, trade, and humanitarian assistance. Crucially, the agreement includes a long-term aim for migrant labor, suggesting Russia's primary motivation is to address its severe domestic labor shortage rather than solely securing new allies.

What Trump's National Security AI Memo Gets Right—and Leaves Unresolved

Council on Foreign Relations  |  Vinh X. Nguyen, Michael C. Horowitz

President Donald Trump signed National Security Presidential Memorandum 11 (NSPM-11) on June 5, directing U.S. national security agencies to accelerate artificial intelligence (AI) adoption and revoking Biden-era restrictions. This memo aims to accelerate U.S. AI development, roll back oversight, and maintain technological dominance over China. NSPM-11 notably requires agencies to terminate contracts with AI companies limiting government use, updates the Defense Department's autonomous weapons policy, and vests AI accountability within the military chain of command.

Xi’s Calculated Return To North Korea – Analysis

Eurasia Review  |  Patrick M. Cronin

Xi Jinping’s visit to Pyongyang this week signals a recalibration of Northeast Asia’s power balance, marking his first return since 2019. Xi leverages his political capital as North Korea gains influence from its advancing nuclear program and a nascent partnership with Moscow. For Kim Jong Un, this high-level attention from Beijing, North Korea’s principal economic lifeline, is crucial for projecting itself as a nuclear great power.

Japan’s Security Focus Shift

The Diplomat  |  KAWASHIMA Shin

China's expanding operational reach, now extending significantly beyond the First Island Chain, is compelling a fundamental shift in Japan's strategic security focus. This development indicates a heightened level of Chinese power projection into the broader Pacific, challenging established regional security paradigms and necessitating a comprehensive re-evaluation of defense priorities by Tokyo.

The 3 Geopolitical Shocks That Boosted the Middle Corridor

The Diplomat

The Middle Corridor, a multimodal trade and transit route stretching across the Eurasian landmass from China to Europe, is experiencing renewed interest amid catastrophic disruptions to maritime trade. This modern version aims to capitalize on tumultuous contemporary geopolitics to resurrect an ancient pathway, reminiscent of the historical Silk Road that once positioned Central Asia as a global trade center.

U.S. Power Is Wrung Out

Foreign Policy  |  Hal Brands

The war in the Persian Gulf has generated global shock waves, disrupting the world economy, unsettling U.S. alliances, causing epic disruptions to freedom of navigation, and pushing the nuclear nonproliferation order to a tipping point. This conflict has starkly revealed U.S. strategic insolvency, despite impressive tactical feats by the United States and Israel, including the killing of dozens of high-ranking Iranian officials.

The Glass Backbone: Why the Army’s Logistics Will Break in the Next War

Modern War Institute  |  Jonathan Buckland

The United States Army's current sustainment model, optimized for permissive environments, is a significant liability for future large-scale combat operations. This efficiency-driven approach, relying on uncontested supply lines, will fail under persistent attack in strategic competition. Historical examples like Operation Barbarossa, where German forces rapidly outran their logistics network, and contemporary lessons from the war in Ukraine demonstrate that logistical failures, not tactical defeats, culminate campaigns.

Trump’s Revamped Food for Peace Bypasses the Countries Closest to Famine

Council on Foreign Relations  |  Sam Vigersky

The United States' oldest emergency food aid program, Food for Peace, was transferred to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) in December 2025 after the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) dismantled USAID. This move placed the $1.2 billion program in an agency lacking crisis-response expertise, leading to USDA seeking an instruction manual and shutting out experienced State Department staff.

A Liberal Vision For Europe

Persuasion  |  Francis Fukuyama

Francis Fukuyama delivered the Erhard Busek Memorial Lecture, arguing that Europe's common identity must be based on Enlightenment values rather than a purely Christian civilization, especially given current challenges and the evolving U.S. political landscape. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's assertion of a "Western Civilization" rooted in "Christian faith" highlights a division between populists and liberals.

Russian Battle Tank Attrition Completely Reversed - Top Western Analysts

Simplicius76  

A leading pro-Ukrainian analyst, Jompy, has concluded that Russia's current tank fleet is larger than its pre-war force due to new domestic production and refurbishment, despite a sharp drop in overall vehicle quality. Russian tank losses have significantly decreased from nearly 4 per day in 2022 to 1.4 per day in 2025, and reportedly 0.4 per day or less in 2026, with only 10 tanks destroyed in April 2026 according to WarSpotting.

Lebanon Is No Longer About Lebanon

Foreign Policy  |  Ali Hashem

The latest Israeli strike on a building in Beirut’s southern suburb on June 7 killed two people, marking a repetition of previous attacks and signaling Israel's intent to contain the Lebanese front within Lebanese geography. This strike, following two Hezbollah rockets launched toward northern Israel, suggests Israel aims to impose an equation where attacks on Lebanon do not automatically escalate to the Iranian file.

The Next Caribbean Crisis? Assessing U.S. Military Options Toward Cuba

Center for Strategic and International Studies  |  Christopher Hernández-Roy, Mark F. Cancian, Henry Ziemer

The United States is examining a range of potential military scenarios against Cuba, including a pressure campaign, intervention following internal collapse, leadership decapitation, limited air offensive, and runaway escalation, as its policy objective remains unclear. The current U.S. policy, initiated in January 2026, employs oil import restrictions as leverage, an attritional strategy militarily easy to execute given Cuba's weak navy and limited external support.

AI, the Box, and the Black

Lieber Institute  |  William H. Boothby

The U.S. Cyber Command Legal Conference in April 2026 highlighted critical legal and ethical questions regarding artificial intelligence (AI) employment in cyber warfare, particularly concerning "black box" un-explainability. A central concern is whether AI processes whose outcomes cannot be explained can be deemed discriminating, violating Additional Protocol I, Article 51(4) on indiscriminate attacks or the proportionality rule.

Fighting Air Defense Capabilities in Multidomain Operations

Army University Press  |  Glenn A. Henke

The U.S. Army must adjust its air defense doctrine to counter adversaries' advancing aerial arsenals, as evidenced by the Russo-Ukrainian and Iran Wars. Commanders need to visualize airspace as maneuver space and employ multidomain engagement-area development as the primary organizing construct for air defense capabilities. This requires 3D visualization tools and a dynamic approach to planning.

Warification and the Illusion of Precision: AI, Targeting, and Increasing Civilian Harm

Lieber Institute for Law & Land Warfare | Jessica Dorsey, Luke Moffett

Recent developments in the use of artificial intelligence (AI) for targeting in Iran and the wider Middle East illustrate "warification," a process where activities, spaces, and technologies not traditionally associated with armed conflict are reconstituted as legitimate components of warfare. This linguistic and operational drift, exemplified by doctrines of maximum lethality and systems like Palantir’s Maven Smart System and Anthropic’s large-language models, expands the boundaries of war.

Data Center Warfare: Defending the Key Terrain of AI Infrastructure

Modern War Institute  |  Jason Vogt, Nina A. Kollars

The rapid expansion of AI-driven data centers is creating new strategic high-value targets globally, fundamentally altering critical infrastructure. Following the United States' and Israel's February attack on Iran, Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes, hitting three Amazon Web Services (AWS) data centers in the UAE and Bahrain, disrupting digital services, and later an Oracle data center in Dubai.