5 October 2025

How the US and Ukraine Can Redefine Drone Deterrence

Ivan Sascha Sheehan

The Ukrainian UAV sector’s baptism by fire will make it a strategic asset for NATO defense in the years to come.

Although the Russia-Ukraine war is the most drone-intensive conflict of the twenty-first century, the implications of this reality have only recently spilled beyond its borders. In August, Polish officials confirmed that Russian drones had crossed into their airspace before being shot down near the frontier. Around the same time, Danish and Norwegian airports were reportedly targeted by suspected drone disruptions, which local analysts described as highly likely to be Kremlin-backed.

These incidents are not isolated provocations; they function as stress tests—probing NATO’s defenses against a rapidly evolving form of warfare. With Western military leaders increasingly alarmed about how fast the drone battlefield is changing, the alliance faces a clear imperative: it must integrate Ukraine’s wartime innovations into its own defense planning and production cycles.

Russia’s invasion has triggered a transformation in drone warfare so profound that even the United States—with its vast defense industry and cutting-edge military—has struggled to adapt. Washington excels at building advanced fighter jets, tanks, and precision-guided missiles. However, when it comes to mass-producing inexpensive, expendable systems at a rapid pace, America lags behind. US troops also lack the combat experience in drone operations that Ukrainian soldiers have been forced to acquire.

The Pentagon has acknowledged the gap. In July, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth disseminated a memo to senior officers outlining a plan to accelerate the US military’s adoption of drones. Since then, US troops have begun experimenting with 3D-printed drones and training on simulators. These are important steps, but they also underscore a sobering reality: America is racing to catch up.

In contrast, Ukraine has fostered a dynamic ecosystem of drone development that is both resilient and rapidly evolving. According to Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense, more than 95 percent of the drones deployed on the front line are domestically manufactured. What makes these systems particularly effective is the rapid cycle of innovation.

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