To Deter Russia, Europe Needs Ukraine
A Ukraine-Baltics defense pact would bring Kyiv into Europe’s security architecture.
Fredrik Wesslau,
A distinguished policy fellow at the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies.Ukrainian soldiers hold the Ukrainian and Lithuanian flags over the coffin of Tomas Valentelis, a Lithuanian volunteer in the Ukrainian army who was killed in battle in Ukraine, at a funeral ceremony in Kyiv on April 16.Ukrainian soldiers hold the Ukrainian and Lithuanian flags over the coffin of Tomas Valentelis, a Lithuanian volunteer in the Ukrainian army who was killed in battle in Ukraine, at a funeral ceremony in Kyiv on April 16. TETIANA DZHAFAROVA/AFP via Getty Images
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October 30, 2025, 1:51 PM
Europe’s security architecture is being remade in real time. Russia’s war against Ukraine and U.S. President Donald Trump’s return to office has challenged the basic premises on which European security rests. Europe is under threat from Russia and has lost the United States as its ultimate security guarantor.
Trump’s hostility toward NATO and ambiguity in relation to Article 5 means that Europe can no longer rely on the United States to come to its defense if Russia attacks. Despite Trump’s occasional feel-good rhetoric about NATO, his unpredictability and unreliability fundamentally undermine the credibility of U.S. commitments to Europe, which are central to NATO’s deterrence.
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