Gabriel Elefteriu
The Greenland psychodrama together with some of the startling opinions aired in Davos last week – especially Mark Carney’s definitive language on the end of the rules-based order – have sent the Western geopolitical angst to new heights of alarm, confusion and, often, despair. This is certainly true in Europe where the increasingly-likely demise of the transatlantic relationship – at least in the substantive form we’ve known it for over 80 years – raises almost existential questions from a security point of view going forward.
Beyond security, the consequences for future European economic and technological competitiveness of a serious “civilisational” break with the US, perhaps even a transition to an adversarial relationship, could well be disastrous or even terminal. There is no telling where the widening split between America and its allies will lead all of us, the US included. Some hopes are now being placed in a midterm upset for Trump, and then in a Democrat presidential win in 2028 – as if such events were magic keys that could turn back the clock and restore the inter-allied trust, ethos and sense of common destiny (for better or worse) that still existed, in some form, a few years ago.
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