Benjamin Frohman and Jeremy Rausch
As Beijing continues escalating its use of military coercion across the Indo-Pacific and leverages its massive industrial capacity to support military actions by Russia and Iran, the implications of the growth of the PRC’s military power are becoming only more concerning. By 2027, CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping, who also serves as chairman of the Central Military Commission, has instructed the PLA to be capable of invading Taiwan.[1] In July 2024, NATO labeled the PRC a “decisive enabler” of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine due to its large-scale provision of dual-use components and materiel to Moscow’s war effort.[2] Likewise, critical chemical precursors and technological support that Beijing provides to Iran’s ballistic missile program helped Tehran develop the highly accurate missiles it used to attack Israel and U.S. military assets in the Middle East in 2025. Taken together, Beijing’s intention to use its development of world-class military capabilities to revise the territorial status quo in the Indo-Pacific and support its authoritarian partners in pursuing their own aggressive aims illustrates the PRC’s growing military threat to the United States and its allies and partners.
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