April Quarterly Report, “Security: The Eroding Bedrock”
Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)
April 30, 2016
Today, SIGAR released its 31st (April 2016) Quarterly Report to Congress.
The report notes:
– The opening section titled “Security: The Eroding Bedrock,” notes that SIGAR’s work indicates five major challenges that confront U.S. efforts to develop the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF) into a force capable of defending the country: (1) limited oversight visibility, (2) questionable force-strength numbers, (3) unreliable capability assessments, (4) limited on-budget assistance capacity, and (5) uncertain long-term sustainability.
– With fewer forces in theater, the United States military has lost much of its ability to make direct observations, provide tactical mentoring, and collect reliable information on ANDSF capability and effectiveness.
– SIGAR’s assessment that neither the United States nor its Afghan allies know how many Afghan soldiers and police actually exist, how many are in fact available for duty, or, by extension, the true nature of their operational capabilities, is troubling.
– SIGAR is concerned that measures of ANDSF capabilities and effectiveness have never been very reliable and are getting worse.
– The U.S. ability to influence operational outcomes on the ground is constricting, while ANDSF capability has not correspondingly risen.