Ghazal Golshiri
US President Donald Trump's announcement on Tuesday, April 21, that he would extend the ceasefire until Iran presents a proposal to end the conflict is not good news for Tehran. It leaves it in a kind of limbo between war and peace, a situation its leaders have historically sought to avoid, with the American naval blockade still in place and the prospect of renewed hostilities hanging over Iran, further strangling an already heavily weakened economy.
"Economic pressure through blockade, strategic uncertainty, and continued low-intensity confrontation – this scenario is seen as gradually eroding Iran's remaining strategic capacity," explained Hamidreza Azizi, a researcher at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik think tank in Berlin, on X. "Trump's extension of the ceasefire is not interpreted as a face-saving exit from the conflict, but rather as a recalibration of the war's form and shape, which lowers costs for the United States while increasing them for Iran," the researcher continued.
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