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22 March 2026

The Iran conflict edges the world closer to a new drone arms race

Dominika Kunertova

On the last day of February, the United States and Israel launched nearly 1,000 joint strikes on Iran to decapitate its regime. Even after US-Israeli military action blunted Tehran’s retaliatory capacity, Iran launched sweeping drone salvos across almost every country in the Persian Gulf. Iranian drones targeted not only US embassies and military facilities abroad––from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to Kuwait, Lebanon, and Iraq––but also key energy infrastructure, commercial airports, and luxury hotels. Even Azerbaijan and Turkey intercepted drones from Iran. After an Iranian drone struck Akrotiri, the British military air base on Cyprus, several European nations sent naval vessels to defend the island from further strikes.

By March 5, Iranian drone attacks had fallen by 83 percent, but the scale of the campaign is staggering. In total, more than 2,000 low-cost, one-way-attack Shahed-136 drones have entered the Gulf region since the war began. Out of these, nearly half targeted the UAE in the first few days. This number is slightly higher than the 810 Shahed-136-type drones that Russia launched at Ukraine in a single strike during the peak attacks of late 2025. These days, Russian strikes on civil infrastructure in Ukraine average 143 attack drones per day.

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