22 March 2026

What’s Really Driving the Strategy Behind Trump’s War on Iran

Ilan Berman

With the Iran war in its third week, questions are swirling over the administration’s aims, its conduct of the conflict and the trajectory that Iran itself might take. The White House, which by most accounts anticipated a quick victory over the Islamic Republic, now finds itself faced with an entrenched adversary that does not appear prepared to compromise—at least not yet. At the same time, a number of other variables are also shaping Washington’s strategic calculus.
The Current Conflict Is Very Much an Information War

In recent years, the information domain has emerged as an increasingly important arena of global competition. Thus Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine has been accompanied by a veritable deluge of disinformation designed to sow disorder in the West and generate sympathy for Moscow’s objectives among Global South nations. Narrative warfare likewise played an outsized role in the recent Gaza conflict, with terror group Hamas adroitly capturing—and then shaping—the global narrative.

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