Institute for National Strategic Studies | Jocelyn Garcia, Dr. James Giordano
The convergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and non-kinetic irregular warfare (IW) represents a significant strategic threat, enabling adversaries like the People’s Republic of China (PRC), Russia, and Iran to operationalize asymmetries at scale. These nations employ doctrines such as "unrestricted warfare" and "reflexive control" to conduct algorithmically mediated cognitive campaigns, shaping perceptions of truth, threats, and institutional trust. AI compresses the temporal interval for narrative dissemination, exploiting bureaucratic latency and rendering truth uncertain, which can fracture allied cohesion and impede coordinated responses. The expanded battlespace now encompasses cognition and social confidence, allowing adversaries to probe vulnerabilities below kinetic engagement thresholds. To counter this, the article recommends establishing a dedicated AI-IW threat intelligence center, developing cognitive resistance programs for personnel and allies, integrating AI surveillance and countermeasures into operational doctrine, and funding a national AI-IW research and development program. The United States must recognize AI as a force multiplier in IW, demanding resource commitment and doctrinal innovation akin to kinetic threats.
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