National Interest | Tanya Goudsouzian
The United States' military presence in the Persian Gulf is increasingly perceived as a liability, risking escalation and hindering regional stability. Debates suggest US posture primarily serves Israeli interests and maintains American dominance. Iranian airstrikes have reportedly destroyed at least 228 structures at US facilities, demonstrating base vulnerability. Decades of US protection have prevented a genuinely regional security framework, leaving sheikhdoms reliant on Washington. The US strategy of conventional superiority against Iran has failed, as Iran's strategy of patience and resistance allows it to withstand attacks and Strait of Hormuz blockades. This costly global military posture, including a $29 billion war cost, collides with fiscal reality, with US debt exceeding GDP and debt payments surpassing the defense budget, aligning with Ferguson Limit theories. A reduced US footprint would encourage regional actors to assume greater responsibility for their own defense and diplomacy.
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