29 December 2025

DoD's AI Balancing Act

Sebastian Elbaum and Jonathan Panter

Exaggerations and unsubstantiated claims pervade debates about the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) across the government, economy, and society. The hype cuts both ways, with both proponents and opponents of AI adoption making claims that require more evidence and analysis to adjudicate. This battle is particularly salient in the realm of national security, in which the stakes of technological adoption can be life-and-death.

Advances in AI over the last decade—fueled by breakthroughs in deep learning, computing power, and the emergence of Generative AI (GenAI)—promise to transform national security decision-making and the exercise of military power. The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) recognized this potential early, moving to embrace AI as a critical enabler for future warfare. This early recognition was evident in the Department’s 2014 Third Offset Strategy, and in its launch of the Defense Innovation Unit Experimental (DIUx) in 2015.

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