Anna Maria Treifeldt
However, Trump’s tariffs, lack of progress in Quad (India, Australia, Japan, and the US) initiatives, and ambiguous signals on Pakistan have made the existing approach untenable. In response, India has lowered its immediate exposure by reopening limited diplomatic channels with China, highlighting that New Delhi prefers strategic hedging. These actions undermine assumptions in both Europe and the US about India’s reliability as a consistent counterweight to China.
The Trump Shock. The 2025 US National Security Strategy specifically called for bolstering commercial and security ties with India, and for “continued quadrilateral cooperation” to uphold a free and open Indo-Pacific. Yet Washington’s trade threats and transactional framing of partnership under Trump have translated into early actions that have altered key elements of India’s strategic environment.[1]
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