Shaunak Nath
Reports that the United States is repositioning military units for a potential strike on Iran have coincided with a sharp escalation at sea. A U.S. fighter recently shot down an Iranian drone that approached an American aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, marking one of the most direct military encounters between the two sides in years. At the same time, officials on both sides have signalled openness to indirect talks, reportedly through regional intermediaries.
This combination of military pressure and diplomatic signalling has revived a familiar but unresolved question: could US strikes weaken or even topple the Iranian regime, especially at a moment of visible domestic unrest? Or would military action instead consolidate power in Tehran and undermine the political movements challenging the system from within?
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