21 May 2026

BEAN-COUNTING WON’T DO: MAKING SENSE OF MODERN MILITARY COMPETITION

War Room  |  Ian Bowers, Henrik StΓ₯lhane Hiim
Traditional military competition metrics, such as comparing budgets or platform counts, are increasingly insufficient for understanding modern advanced militaries, particularly in the intensifying U.S.-China rivalry. The article advocates for analyzing operational concepts—the strategic roadmaps for future warfare—to accurately discern how militaries prepare for and compete in a multi-domain environment. Modern warfare emphasizes jointness, multi-domain operations (space, cyber, electromagnetic), and unmanned systems, making traditional bean-counting misleading. Both U.S. and Chinese operational concepts reveal an action-reaction dynamic, with China focusing on Taiwan-related scenarios and denying U.S. intervention within the First Island Chain, while the U.S. aims to deter aggression and defend Taiwan. Both nations are heavily investing in and integrating intelligence, command and control (C2), and fires capabilities to exploit perceived weaknesses in the adversary's operational system, as exemplified by China's "System Destruction Warfare" and "Multi-Domain Precision Warfare" concepts. This analytical shift provides a more precise understanding of strategic arming, strategy, and stability in key theaters like East Asia.

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