Hudson Institute, Can Kasapoğlu
Fighting raged at a high operational tempo across the Ukrainian battle space last week, with some days seeing between two and three hundred tactical engagements.
This pronounced increase in combat activity highlights the mounting pressure Russian forces are placing on Ukraine. Some sources report that Russia seized about 90 percent more Ukrainian territory in November than in October. In a worrying trend for Kyiv, Russian formations are now targeting the anti-drone infrastructure Ukraine has built along critical logistical routes.
The Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka fronts bore the brunt of Moscow’s assault. The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that its forces had successfully captured Pokrovsk. While Kyiv has not officially confirmed the city’s fall, the situation there appears all but irreversible. Heavy fog and harsh winter conditions have allowed Russian small-infantry assault teams to penetrate Ukrainian defenses. Russian units have also surrounded the nearby city of Myrnohrad, which may soon fall as well.
Other flashpoints also bear monitoring. In recent weeks the Russian military has been pushing hard and gaining ground in Zaporizhzhia and in the direction of Lyman. In Kupiansk, where this report detected prior Russian infiltrations, the Ukrainian General Staff has focused on detecting breaching Russian assault groups as it sweeps the city and its outskirts.
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