Christian Caryl, Angela Stent
If, at the outset in 2022, many saw Russia’s war against Ukraine as a regional conflict that might be contained, its nature as a global geopolitical turning point has become ever clearer. The invasion that Moscow launched four years ago next week has forced Europe to rearm and think about future wars on the continent. The Eurasian autocracies have aligned economically, technologically, and strategically in unprecedented ways—bringing Iranian weapons and North Korean soldiers deep into the European battlespace. The economics of energy are shifting as Europe cuts its links to Russia and the dangers of overreliance on a hostile power have become plain to see.
Many of these developments have been turbocharged since the inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump. His hostile stance toward Europe, abandonment of aid to Ukraine, and eagerness to strike a deal with Russia have put even more of an onus on Europe to secure stability on its borders and prepare for future conflict. As Washington refocuses on the Western Hemisphere, Europe is reaching out to new partners around the globe, accelerating the shift to a post-American world.
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